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Tangible v Intangible Money – Why Times Have Changed

The mantra of Goldbugs has been that paper money is worthless and only gold is money. That is pretty much like saying the earth is still flat. Money has historically been many things and gold is only one of them. The issue is always the fact that money (regardless of what it is) rises and […]

Major v Minor – What is the Difference

QUESTION: ” But keep in mind that the major event should be later 2015 – not right now.” Could you please explain with more details these important words? ANSWER: The 1987 Crash was just that on the mid-term turning point with the crash unfolding, but that was short-lived and not a sustained change in trend qualifying it as a minor rather than […]

ECM 8/7/2013 Turning Point

A number of question have been directed at what will this turning point produce. This should not be a major high or low in the major markets. What we should see is a mental shift develop at this stage in the game. In the case of 1987, there was a major high that formed first […]

Statistics

NYSE was open Saturdays prior to  September 29, 1952 Dow Jones Industrial Average All-Time Largest One Day Gains & Losses NYSE-Closings US Population 1776-2010 Ancient Weights & Measures Listings of US Civil Unrest

More Bernanke Confusion & Turbulence

In the wake of Wednesday’s surprisingly questioning of Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, he has unleashed a massive selloff in the US dollar by giving the reverse impression that the Fed may exit from monetary accommodation and easing. Bernanke stated that the Federal Reserve was failing on both of its core mandates, and that inflation was too low and unemployment too high. […]

Interventionism & Panic of 1919

QUESTION: No one ever talks about the depression from 1920-1921, but as I recall in researching it the government and the Fed never intervened and just let things play out.    In the end this depression hurt for awhile, but was over very quickly and from that point on we had the roaring 20’s. You […]

Flash Crash – It is What it is!

QUESTION: Good evening Mr. Armstrong, When it comes to the precious metals I have found you to act as a much needed fulcrum between the “gold bugs” and the main straem media – thank you! In your most recent bid you say, “All Crash events take place because of the LACK of BIDS. It does […]

When the Fundamentals are Confusing

Thank you for all the fan mail on the Dow to offset the hate mail on the metals. The objective is to expose the real world we live in and how domestic policy objectives are really held hostage to international capital flows. We are really trying hard to get everything up and running ASAP. Many […]

Inflation is Inevitable But its the Interest Rates We Better Watch

We are in one of the most complex conundrums in financial history. On the one hand we have vast amounts of cash that creates tremendous liquidity with interest rates at virtually zero, G7 finance ministers at least alarmed about the high level of liquidity yet it is becoming obvious even to them that monetary policy can not […]

The 1987 Crash

The 1987 Crash The 1987 Crash also became known as Black Monday referring to Monday October 19th, 1987. It was a fateful day when the US stock market crashed, creating a wave of confusion as capital and government failed to grasp the real underpinnings of currency. The 1987 Crash came precisely to the day on […]