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Market Talk – February 2, 2024

ASIA:   Japan is expected to experience a significant increase in annual interest payments on government debt, reaching 24.8 trillion yen ($169 billion) over the next decade, according to draft government estimates seen by Reuters. The Ministry of Finance prepared the latest estimate for parliamentary discussion on the government’s budget bills, highlighting the potential rise […]

Market Talk – January 31, 2024

ASIA:   The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today: NIKKEI 225 increased 220.85 points or 0.61% to 36,286.71 Shanghai decreased 41.98 points or -1.48% to 2,788.55 Hang Seng decreased 218.38 points or -1.39% to 15,485.07 ASX 200 increased 80.50 points or 1.06% to 7,680.70 Kospi decreased 1.72 points or -0.07% to 2,497.09 […]

Market Talk – January 30, 2024

ASIA: A Hong Kong court is set to evaluate a winding-up petition for China Evergrande Group, a major Chinese property developer facing financial distress with over $300 billion in liabilities. The case, scheduled for January 29, involves offshore creditors seeking resolution, and its outcome may serve as a critical test for cross-border insolvency arrangements between […]

Programming

QUESTION: In the video that you just share about the Model, you explain that you programmed Socrates to look at the whole world and “analyze” (this is key) the word analyze, if I understand programming a computer is a a bunch of If then or For Next, how do you program a computer to “Analyze” […]

Market Talk – January 26, 2024

ASIA:   The Bank of Japan has decided to maintain its current monetary policy, keeping the short-term interest rate at -0.1% and leaving yield curve control parameters unchanged. The bank also adjusted its economic projections, lowering the inflation forecast for the fiscal year from April to 2.4% from 2.8%. Despite these changes, the statement provided […]

Market Talk – January 25, 2024

ASIA: China has announced a plan to boost its struggling economy by reducing the reserve ratio requirements for banks by 50 basis points, effective from February 5. This move, the first reduction in reserve requirements for the year, is expected to release 1 trillion yuan ($139.8 billion) in long-term capital. The decision was announced by […]

Market Talk – January 23, 2024

ASIA: Chinese authorities are reportedly considering measures to stabilize the declining stock market, aiming to mobilize around 2 trillion yuan ($278.53 billion) from offshore accounts of state-owned enterprises. The funds would be used to create a stabilization fund, allowing the purchase of shares onshore through the Hong Kong exchange link. While Chinese stocks initially rose […]

The Collapse in Confidence

QUESTION: Dear Martin – you often speak of CONFIDENCE in the government and there are many arrays you share that indicate confidence or lack thereof (Interest rates, Gold, Bonds, Indexes, Forex and others). All of these are open to interpretation by Socrates subscribers, and of course your respective, priceless commentary you share with us. What […]

Market Talk – January 18, 2024

ASIA: The Bank of Japan is expected to maintain its ultra-loose monetary policy in the upcoming week. Governor Kazuo Ueda’s statements will be closely watched for hints on when the central bank plans to raise short-term interest rates from negative territory. Policymakers are inclined to wait a few more months to assess the broadening of […]

Market Talk – January 16, 2024

ASIA:   In 2023, the Moscow Exchange reported that trading volume in Chinese yuan surpassed that of the U.S. dollar, marking a significant shift in currency dominance. This development is part of Moscow’s de-dollarization strategy in response to Western sanctions on its financial system. The increasing partnership between Moscow and Beijing, characterized as “no limits,” […]