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STAGFLATION = INFLATION + DEFLATION

QUESTION: Martin, I think I fully understand your argument that Hyperinflation can hot occur in an established economy/society and that  currents events are leading, almost inevitably to deflation but, in the same way as the interest rate cycle is turning up, for the majority of us, certainly in the UK, basic costs, e.g food/energy, are […]

Hyperinflation Definition

QUESTION: It seems some people play with the definition of hyperinflation and try to claim that is just 25% or more. This just does not seem right. Can you elaborate? ANSWER: Real hyperinflation is in the thousands of percent, We saw inflation hit 25% numerous times including going into 1980. The dollar did not die. […]

Alistair Cooke – Prophet or Historian?

Alistair Cooke was a great historian. He saw cycles also within history. This is a short clip from 1973 explaining that indeed it is the same cycle over and over again. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wz6hmGiOn2I

Is it Alive?

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; you are probably the first pioneer in AI. My professor at … mentioned you often. My question is straight forward. Do you believe your system has evolved along the same path as the human mind and if so can it achieve self-awareness and perhaps consciousness? ANSWER: I take it the sudden rush […]

Fracking Causes Earthquakes?

The preliminary evidence that continues to come in implies that fracking is causing earthquakes. I reported on this after some first hand investigation with people directly effected. Now, Reuters is reporting that the same trends in Pennsylvania appear to be showing up in Oklahoma. A study seems to be underway. This could have an impact […]

Negative Interest Rates & Eliminating Cash – The Summers’ Solution

A speech delivered by Larry Summers at the IMF Research Conference on Nov. 8, 2013, has caused a real stir and is being hailed as brilliant, succinct, and a ground-breaking presentation that explained what many say is the most pressing economic matter of our time. The speech is being widely praised of course by Paul […]

China – A new Era

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; It is becoming very obvious who China is listening to. You said China should bypass the NY banks and go directly to the Treasury. They did. They used QE to shorten their US debt holdings. They did. Now on Friday they have relaxed the one-child rule as you said they had to […]

Expect Riots & Rise of Nationalism After 2015.75 To Pick Up Steam

Politicians are preparing for the worse everywhere you look. We forget so quickly that the American Revolution slogan was what – No Taxation Without Representation. Germany will not allow democratic referendums precisely the same move of King George III that set off the American Revolution, Homeland Security bought 2715 tanks for domestic use and enough […]

QE or Austerity? Is there a 3rd Alternative?

QUESTION: In your writings you seem to be both against QE and against Austerity. What then is the third way? How do we get out of this high debt, high deficit, low growth cycle without using either of these methods or a collapse and reboot? On a side note I was curious if you were […]

China’s Reform Push for 2020

China has vowed to push toward free markets and to allow them to take a more dominant role in developing the economy – its reform for 2020. When I was invited by the Central Bank of China back in 1997 and was given a tour of a major facility where they were monitoring everything that […]