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Market Talk

Late headlines yesterday from the IMF spooked early trade in Europe, which saw support for core debt markets. But this “will they, won’t they” (or should I say, “can they, can’t they”) approach has long been a tiresome excuse for dealers and is another reason why liquidity is so poor. The 10yr Tsy/Bund spread remains […]

Market Talk

Interesting day all around… European bonds are weaker from the opening rumors of unwinding the yen carry trade as a result of the stronger JPY (on Abe’s comments) resulting in 10-year bund trading briefly above 1% and the U.S. 10-year note at 2.50%, but then retail appeared and the bounce continued throughout the day – […]

Gold & Reality Going Forward

COMMENT: Martin, It has been a long time since ….. has sent out a blog post, but I got one today. When Mr. …. probably first started slamming you for calling the 2011 gold top, his …. was 7.82.  It is now 28 cents, and he is still touting gold as the only real asset and debt as […]

“The Forecaster” Playing on European International Flights to USA

QUESTION: Dear Martin, Today I went by plane from Vienna to New York with Austrian Airlines. Also Austrian Airlines are showing “The Forecaster“. This is even more interesting because the Austrian cinemas (like in Switzerland) are not showing the film, therefore I suppose also the possibility of the VOD screening in Austria. I took the […]

Obama Is Targeting Your Retirement Accounts

Presidential approval ratings show that Obama now enjoys the status of a lower approval rating than George W. Bush, and that is really saying something. Obama is clearly a Marxist. He buys into the problem that the people are saving too much, and is using this to entertain the idea of placing a cap on how […]

Big Bang – It Is Everywhere

Chicago may become the next Detroit. We can see this Big Bang unfolding everywhere around us at a very rapid pace. Moody’s Investor Services just cut Chicago’s bond rating from Baa2 to Ba1, while Standard & Poor’s lowered the city’s rating from A+ to A-. Fitch Ratings also cut Chicago’s ratings from A- to BBB+. […]

Municipals Squeezed Between Feds & State

In response to questions from a major U.S. city and the debt crisis, I will not mention the names for this is sensitive and highly political. I have decided to address the question, which I would normally do privately, only because a lot of municipal governments are in trouble in many countries. The same problems […]

Ancient Merchant Banking – the House of Lucius Caecilius Jucundus – the Banker of Pompeii

  Merchant Banking is where banks always began throughout history. Trading in the various commodities and engaging in import/export was the path to wealth from ancient times to the present. The takeover of Wall Street came from the commodity side where traders were born. It began with the Gold broker house of PhiBro who took […]

The Money-Debt Paradox

QUESTION: Dear Martin, if bonds are beginning to crash in 2015.75 , is there anything that prevents central banks from printing even more money and buying bonds as many as governments needs?  Can’t they basically print unlimited amounts of money, thus preventing the crash? Best regards from Germany, AM ANSWER: You are making the logical […]

This Time It Is Different

For years, I have warned that we will face our worst nightmare – the collapse of socialism. In the death throes of this abomination that even the Ten Commandments listed as a serious sin, equal to “thou shalt not kill”, government will become the ugly beast that will devour society to retain power. Of course, […]