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Negative Interests Rates Comes in Flavours

QUESTION: Marty, thanks so much for explaining the difference between lowering rates trying to deflect capital flows as in Denmark and Switzerland. I understand the difference now and why you say the ECB is the first to apply this in a Keynesian stimulus context. Is this a complete modern development post-depression? Cheers; YJK ANSWER: The […]

European Civil Unrest on the Rise – Rome & Paris this Weekend

Putin just has to sit back and watch for with two months before the European elections, the season for protests has begun. Literally, tens of thousands in Paris and Rome have taken to the streets demonstrating against the austerity policies of their governments that line their pockets and the bankers. Masked demonstrators fought before the Ministry of Economic Affairs […]

Baltic Dry Index – Collapse in World Trade – Thank you Harry Reid

The Baltic Dry Index falls for fourteen days in a row and is on a record low.The index shows the volume of world trade by sea. The collapse of the index warns shipbuilders are in the crisis, as demand for new container ships is rapidly declining in the West.

From South Korea

COMMENT: Mr Armstrong, Thank you for your recent pieces about South Korea. I have lived in Seoul for 10 years and regularly talk with educated people about the issue. Consensus seems to be that North Korea will not start a full-blown war because they have as much to lose as we have (not in nominal terms […]

China Adopted our Capital Flow Models

COMMENT: The conference must have been exhausting; I know there is so much work and preparation that these events require. A lot to catch up on, but firstly, I saw this headline yesterday and thought I would forward it to you! If you ever needed assurance that China was following the model (which I know […]

The Age of Civil Unrest – Part II

I have been getting an extraordinary amount of emails regarding our model on Civil Unrest and how governments seem to be gearing up in accordance with our models. People are putting two and two together and assuming we are advising most major nations. Just as the NSA is monitoring the world, every intelligence agency from […]

Understanding Russia

I have clients on every continent and traveled just about everywhere. What I have learned is to understand the people of any nation, you simply have to (1) know its background and history, and (2) its language. The combination of these two elements allow you reach the all critical comprehension of their thinking process for […]

Monetary History of Ukraine

About 1500 BC nomadic tribes appeared on the territory of Ukraine. One of them was the Cimmerians (9th-8th–century BC), which are mentioned in written sources. Scythians, Iranian-speaking people from Central Asia, in the 7th century BC pushed the Cimmerians from the Ukrainian steppes. Around the same period, the Greeks began to establish the first colonies […]

Historical Turning Points Economic Confidence Model 6000BC – 2072AD

Historical Turning Points on the Economic Confidence Model (6000 BC – 2072 AD)   Historical ECM Turning Points – PDF File        Wave    (#) 8.6 PI 2.15 940 2063.05 2065.2 2066.275 2067.35 2068.425 2069.5 2070.129 2070.495 2071.65 939 2054.45 2056.6 2057.675 2058.75 2059.825 2060.9 2061.529 2061.895 2063.05 938 2045.85 2048 2049.075 2050.15 […]

Unemployed Youth Exceed 200 million

A United Nation study has reported that about 206 million people are now unemployed. This is the cost of socialism taxing the rich so there is no job creation with nearly half of that number amounting to youth under 25 years old. The economy on a global scale is terribly weak. This UN annual report […]