The argument that the Fed should do nothing because it will be harder to correct a rate rise than to do nothing because there is no bubble anywhere, demonstrates that we have the most serious BUBBLE in history. Retail participation in markets is still off by 50% from 2007 highs. People have invested in fixed income and […]

Princeton Economics International Princeton Economics International – China Princeton Economics International – Russia

Asia managed a mixed session torn between the falling oil price and the Dow’s rally. Europe was very sure what should happen when oil was hit again this morning. WTI and Brent fell another 1.5% on the back of an earlier report from the IEA (International Energy Agency) and they are forecasting a slack in 2016 based […]

For years, there have been warnings that the overuse of antibiotics was a danger. Now that danger has arrived. A new superbug has evolved, as life itself is always a cycle. This new superbug is impervious to ALL known antibiotics, an evolutionary step that was never contemplated. This superbug has the ability to infect other […]

China’s trade surplus did not live up to expectations, and as a result, we saw weaker prices across all major Asian indices. Shanghai and HSI were both down around 1.5% whilst the Nikkei lost only 1%. The Nikkei did attempt to lead the pack when Q3 GDP saw a small recovery, but when the mood within […]

QUESTION: Why do you do not see that money must be backed by something tangible? ANSWER: That is an antiquated barter perspective; you are blind to reality. Your proposition is that only gold has value and you yourself are worthless. This idea of fiat money is just out of line with reality. The traditional definition […]

This is a special report that so many have been asking for as we head into this turning point in 2014. The Cycles of War is a major research effort we have undertaken over the years to gauge the rise and fall of empires, nations, and city-states. The War Cycle has its origins in two primary categories. First there is the traditional concept of international conflict with one nation invading another. This has been going on for centuries. However, there is a second source that is as vital as the first and is often even more devastating economically. This is the internal conflict of civil unrest that often leads to revolution. Naturally, revolution can be very serious for it was the source in modern times of the American and French Revolutions, the Russian Revolution, and the rise of Mao in China. It is certainly arguable that civil unrest presents a greater systemic risk than international conflict.

It is vital to understand this cycle and what it means for herein lies the fate of gold and the Dow Jones Industrial Index not to mention the Euro and European markets. This report covers the world including the cycles of war with respect to China and Russia in addition to the U.S., Japan, and Europe.

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Continued speculation that additional official support would be available next week in China supported the Shanghai Stock Index yet again. The strong close (of over +1.3% higher) in Asia has been short-lived as the events in Europe have reversed most, if not all, of today’s move (as seen this evening in futures trading). Initially, all […]

An extremely dull day for most core equity markets across the globe today with plus or minus 0.5% movements throughout. If anything to write about it was probably that US stocks closed close to the days lows as they all drifted but even that it probably clutching at straws. Currencies were also quiet today but […]

QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong, You write that you apologize that you can only provide 400 seats to this years’ World Economics Forum in Berlin. Why don’t you offer the possibilty to take part via an Internet Conference? So a lot more people could join your conference! Best regards, AS ANSWER: Doing a two day live […]