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Market Talk – October 17, 2016

All in all, it has been a rather uneventful day all the way from Asia through to the US. With much data on the horizon this week for China both the Shanghai and Hang Seng gaveup ground ahead of any surprises. Both indices finished the day around 0.8% lower, so it was left to the […]

Market Talk – October 13th, 2016

Asia saw a mixed session with the Nikkei and Hang Seng lower whilst Shanghai rallied. The mood certainly appears heavy the past few days but more through uncertainty than actual news although we did see Chinese exports decline it did not halt the Shanghai’s performance. The impact of China’s data on European markets was evident […]

Russia Preparing for War?

The Russian press is now reporting that the Russian Defense Ministry intends to turn the Crimean peninsula into an impregnable fortress. It will be not only a military outpost of Russia in the Black Sea region, but also be able to defend themselves, even when cut off from the mainland. Russia is now deploying a […]

The Relocation of the Financial Capitol of the United States

QUESTION:  Hi Marty, I have a question for you on the movement of the financial capital. Is there a reason it moved to NY (as apposed to VA, MA, or MD) in 1914? Also is it possible to predict what region in china it will move to, or can we just assume it will move to […]

Market Talk – October 12, 2016

Another weak session for the Nikkei despite a brief run at the psychological 17k mark just ahead of lunch. However, it wasn’t to be and the sentiment from a weak US session finally penetrated what euphoria there was and eventually saw the Nikkei close around 1% lower on the day. In mainland China the Peoples […]

Market Talk – October 10th, 2016

Asia started poorly on the back of a weaker oil market until Russia announced it would be willing to cutback its oil production in respect of the OPEC decisions. Oil bounced over 3% on the Asian day reversing the mornings losses. In Japan the Nikkei traded heavy most of the day but recovered off of […]

Central Banks Continue to Sell Dollars to no Avail

The capital flows into the dollar are rather staggering. Central banks continue to try to sell the dollar to keep their currencies afloat. China’s foreign-exchange reserves are most notable in the fight against a rising dollar. China’s foreign-exchange reserves declined again in September, and they try to support the yuan and the Fed clearly cannot stop […]

Does the Fed Fear a Dollar Rally & Bond Crash?

  QUESTION: Numerous people have asked: Does the FED actually also see these trends coming (strong US dollar, bond crash) ? K. ANSWER: Yes. The Fed has sent people to the major banking houses and told them outright that their models are wrong. They have been telling them quietly that there may not be a […]

Market Talk – October 6, 2016

An orderly open for Asia with an oil rally ($50.5 TWI) following on from a positive US session really leading momentum. We did see a wobble just ahead of lunch but that was only short-lived and as trading remains thin due to China’s absence. All in all we closed firmer on both the Nikkei (+0.5%) […]

The Shift in the Financial Capitol of the World

QUESTION: Hi Martin I am a follower of your blog. I have a question on your post “Financial Capital of the World & Its Migration” dated 30th sep 2016. I was looking at the graph where Y-axis indicates the scale of Economic Progress (in terms of % of world GDP) against time on X-axis. The decline […]