To all the questions about high up the fractal structure can be defined, here is the Economic Confidence Model at the very high end. We are in the grand Public Wave overall that peaks in 2032,85. This is the equivalent of the wave that picked the Peak of Rome in 175AD. So here too […]

  The vast majority of those who attempt to use cyclical analysis to forecast create flat models and as such they cannot always see the forest staring at a single tree. There are countless trends and counter-trends all moving at the same time making cyclical analysis often bewildering. A cycle will appear to work for […]

Historical Turning Points on the Economic Confidence Model (6000 BC – 2072 AD)   Historical ECM Turning Points – PDF File        Wave    (#) 8.6 PI 2.15 940 2063.05 2065.2 2066.275 2067.35 2068.425 2069.5 2070.129 2070.495 2071.65 939 2054.45 2056.6 2057.675 2058.75 2059.825 2060.9 2061.529 2061.895 2063.05 938 2045.85 2048 2049.075 2050.15 […]

The Economic Confidence Model & The July 20th, 1998 Turning Point By Martin A. Armstrong Princeton Economic Institute © Copyright July 21st, 1998 So far the markets that have reached a major high precisely to the day with our July 20th, 1998 target have been the US and European share markets. It is important to […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I find it remarkable that your model has always been correct in predicting the economy’s direction. This latest US inflation number shows that it was subsiding, cooling down to the slowest pace since 2021, right in turn with your Economic Confidence Model. Treasuries rallied on expectations that the Fed might cut rates. It […]

John Maynard Keynes in his 1936 book, ‘The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money,” argued aggregate demand was too volatile to be stable and would lead to inflation or recessions. His theory honed in on spending as a means of price control. Low aggregate demand, Keynes argues, would lead to high unemployment and stagflation. […]

    Embark on a journey of financial enlightenment with our exclusive webinar series in the first quarter of 2024. Join us as we celebrate the 50th Anniversary of the Economic Confidence Model (ECM), delve into the intricacies of the Monetary Crisis Cycle, and explore updated advanced trading techniques using Reversals and Arrays. These three […]

Join Kerry Lutz and renowned economist Martin Armstrong for a captivating discussion centered around the Socrates computer model’s uncanny accuracy in predicting political and market trends since 1985. Discover the model’s compelling projection of a 61% chance for a Republican victory in the upcoming 2024 election and its implications for the political landscape. Delve into […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, Your reputation precedes you. They call you the legend because you have been the only analyst who forecasts events years in advance. Throughout the rise and fall the stock market, you called for only 2 year correction from 2000 and 2008 and the market would remain in a bullish trend. I read […]

Once upon a time, I use to respect The Economist. I even took the back cover in July 1985 to announce that the Economic Confidence Model was beginning a new 51.6-year Cycle that was a Private Wave that would ultimately peak in 2032. I boldly announced the bottom in gold and the peak in the […]