QUESTION: Martin, Is there any conceptual common nonlinear resonance ground shared between the ECM and the underlying theory explaining LENR? JAJ ANSWER: Low Energy Nuclear Reactions (LENR) are indeed very interesting. I have concluded that whatever process we observe in any area of science will be discovered in all layers. What many consider “cold fusion” may not be […]

QUESTION:  Mr Armstrong, How does the ECM stack up against The Punic Wars which left the victor, Rome,the Mediterranean superpower and on the road to Empire? Many thanks for sharing your historical knowledge. JR ANSWER: When I back tested the Economic Confidence Model, this frequency appeared over and over again throughout history in all cultures. […]

  To all the questions about high up the fractal structure can be defined, here is the Economic Confidence Model at the very high end. We are in the grand Public Wave overall that peaks in 2032,85. This is the equivalent of the wave that picked the Peak of Rome in 175AD. So here too […]

  The vast majority of those who attempt to use cyclical analysis to forecast create flat models and as such they cannot always see the forest staring at a single tree. There are countless trends and counter-trends all moving at the same time making cyclical analysis often bewildering. A cycle will appear to work for […]

Historical Turning Points on the Economic Confidence Model (6000 BC – 2072 AD)   Historical ECM Turning Points – PDF File        Wave    (#) 8.6 PI 2.15 940 2063.05 2065.2 2066.275 2067.35 2068.425 2069.5 2070.129 2070.495 2071.65 939 2054.45 2056.6 2057.675 2058.75 2059.825 2060.9 2061.529 2061.895 2063.05 938 2045.85 2048 2049.075 2050.15 […]

The Economic Confidence Model & The July 20th, 1998 Turning Point By Martin A. Armstrong Princeton Economic Institute © Copyright July 21st, 1998 So far the markets that have reached a major high precisely to the day with our July 20th, 1998 target have been the US and European share markets. It is important to […]

We’re pleased to announce that the next World Economic Conference will be held in: Orlando, Florida on November 21– 23, 2025 As many of you know, the WEC is not your typical financial conference. It’s where we bring together minds from around the world—investors, analysts, and policymakers—to explore how capital truly moves across borders, markets, […]

COMMENT: Marty, it is amazing that the world is not focusing on your model. Consumer confidence in the US took a nose dive, which was the largest decline in more than three years. The ECM turns, and central backs began to cut rates within weeks, and you explained that recessions are born when people lose […]

  Kamala Harris’ father was basically a radial communist. She is not far from her father’s ideas, any more than Bill Gates is different from his father’s fears of population when he created Planned Parenthood and stuck them in minority areas to reduce the population of blacks. No matter how many times Socialism has been […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I find it remarkable that your model has always been correct in predicting the economy’s direction. This latest US inflation number shows that it was subsiding, cooling down to the slowest pace since 2021, right in turn with your Economic Confidence Model. Treasuries rallied on expectations that the Fed might cut rates. It […]