Timing and Volatility Models Princeton Economics utilizes 5 separate models to identify turning points and periods of changing volatility. They are: Composite Timing Models Empirical Timing Models Trading Timing Models Bifurcation Models Volatility Models Composite Timing Models There are numerous types of cyclical activity within economies and markets. Some cyclical trends expand and contract with […]

Global Model Since the dawn of time, man has tried desperately to predict the future. Man has gazed upon the stars, summoned soothsayers and astrologers and sought guidance in the patterns of tea leaves and chicken entrails. He has studied the movements of planets, comets, and even the flight of an owl. However, no matter […]

The Debt Crisis The Ultimate Defining Issue of American Politics There has been a lot of talk about bringing the deficit down. Clinton argued that issue in support of his massive $245 billion tax increase. While it is true that the deficit declined over the last two years, it is NOT true that this was […]

A Crisis in Democracy The Price of Intervention © Martin A. Armstrong Arthur William Edgar O’Shaughnessy once wrote in his classic Ode back in the 19th century… “We are the music-makers, And we are the dreamers of dreams, Wandering by lone sea breakers, And sitting by desolate streams; World-losers and world-forsakers, On whom the pale […]

Market Myths © Martin A. Armstrong There are numerous myths within the market which encompass everything from stocks and interest rates to gold and oil. Indeed, one could easily write a 1,000 page book on this subject, cataloguing all these “rules of the game”. By far the most widely hailed myth is the so–called relationship of […]

Alternating Influences of World Capital Flows Upon Domestic Market Movements © Martin A. Armstrong Immediately following the Crash of 1987 we warned that our computer models were showing that the entire affair was nothing but a wild short-term correction, similar to that of 1924. We stated in our reports, as well as in numerous seminars throughout […]

Principles of Economy by Martin A. Armstrong Asset Inflation Asset Inflation is quite different from cost-push or demand-lead inflation. Unlike these other forms of inflation, Asset Inflation is created soley by the actions of government through the means of its too often unrestrained fiscal policies. Hence, Asset Inflation is the direct result of a depreciation […]

Copyright Martin Armstrong All Rights Reserved March 25th, 2012 Sometimes I get such hate mail from gold bugs that you really have to wonder what is going on out there. It appears that some of these people are such fanatics that they loath anyone who dares to say there will ever be a correction regardless […]

The Crash of 1998 Day 34 Update Clearly the Worst this Century By Martin A. Armstrong © Princeton Economic Institute September 5th, 1998 Previous Postings Great Financial Panics In History When we first published a comparison of this current debacle 12 days from the high, we ran the headline “Worst Crash This Century”. We received […]

The Crash of ’98 Continues By Martin A. Armstrong August 14, 1998 Copyright Princeton Economic Institute While our clients have been amazed that our computer model called for the peak in the stocks markets as July 20th, 1998 more than 4 years ago, some visitors to this site have sent their emails of disapproval. We […]