Interest Rates are not actually within the scope of the Fed’s power. It can create a base rate, but everything from there is indirect. That is why the Fed bought in 30 year bonds. It was hoping to create a shortage of long-term to reduce mortgage rates and encourage capital to buy mortgages. Everything they […]

  One of the most fascinating aspects of market/economic behavior is how the majority MUST be wrong in order to fuel the movement. There are loads of articles and forecasts questioning the recovery and how the world will collapse into a black hole. But if everyone is short dollars/long gold it will never happen. Tons […]

QUESTION: Hi Marty, Has the ECM failed to predict events in the past? If so, which ones and were you able to modify to address the flaw? If not, what event(s) would need to occur to disprove the validity of the ECM? Best Regards, Kyle ANSWER: No. It is a composite of everything, not anything […]

  Resolving Globally Active, Systemically Important, Financial Institutions A joint paper by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and the Bank of England   10 December 2012           Resolving Globally Active, Systemically Important, Financial Institutions Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and the Bank of England     Executive summary   The financial crisis […]

Brown Brothers Harriman A number of clients have been concerned about banks. The German Banks may be in far worse shape than most suspect. Because Germany has been seen as the foundation of Europe, with its banking problems, once they crack the Euro does not look very good. The crisis among trading banks leads to […]

Margaret Thatcher was a Euro-Skeptic from the start. Her own cabinet abandoned her and pushed her out of politics because she was against joining the Euro concept. She maintain it was an economic union, not a political one. Now even Merkel is beginning to pull back. The idea of Europe has always been the federalization […]

We wrote on June 20th: “The Daily Bearish Reversals are 14670 and 14392 with the Weekly Bearish at 14390 and 14360/ The key support starts with the Monthly Bearish at 13139 and 12940, with the critical support at the Monthly Bearish at 12220.” We elected the minor Daily Bearish on the 24th but that was […]

QUESTION: If Europe is going down the drain before the US (the lack in confidence in EU governments), isn’t it expectable that the gold price will rise in Europe first? If that isn’t so, will the dollar always be the first refuge and gold the last one, rising only after the US collapses? Thank you […]

  Introduction The Evolution of the Global Economy The economy is like a child. It grows, matures and evolves. Perhaps the greatest problem we face in attempting to reform our political-economy and move forward, has been the assumption that we are in control. We only to see things in our domestic political-economy and make our […]

COMMENT: The turn on the Euro was spot on.   Advice on the Yen/ Dollar   was also spot on.   Please give us some updates on the DOW though The best to you and your staff for all your hard work ANSWER: No body on a personal level can possibly pick so many turning […]