There is a town named HELL in Michigan. It has actually frozen over. There were more than 3,600 flight cancellations and more than 14,867 delays. This extreme cold weather coupled with the shutdown will mean that the 1st quarter numbers in the US economy will also turn down sharply. Temperatures dropped into the mid […]

The rally in gold and the stock market together is demonstrating that eventually, we will see the alignment as it transforms from Public to Private assets. The most deranged reaction to the Federal Reserve saying they will be “patient” on any further rate moves, is just beyond all reason. But markets are not always rational […]

  Asia: Slightly subdued day in the Asia markets as the Nikkei was down -60bps but still well within the recently formed upwards channel, which started at the beginning of the month. On Sunday the BOJ meeting minutes were released, the minutes showed that the policy makers were disagreeing over the appropriate level of the […]

QUESTION: Hello Sir, I am French and have been reading you for many years (I already read you while you published papers while you were very unfairly imprisoned). I signed up for Socrates on 6th January and must thank you warmly for opening my eyes to the real state of the global economy and its cycles. […]

There is an undertone lurking behind the rise of Donald Trump in the US, the Brexiteers in the UK, Marine Le Pen in France, political re-alignments in Denmark, and the election of Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil. Additionally, there is the change in governments in Mexico, Malaysia, and the civil unrest in Romania. They are all joined […]

QUESTION: Hi Martin, My girlfriend brought up a point about your work during coffee this morning. Basically, she’s confused about the two dates you often mention, 2020 and 2032. She wants to know which date (2020, 2032) you expect the markets move into crises mode due to the lack of confidence in government. I tried to […]

This entire affair of desperately trying to paint Trump in league with Putin to defeat Hillary is beyond any comprehension.  Not a single left-wing press from the New York Times to CNN will ever report the truth that the release of Hillary’s emails NEVER involved altered or forged documents. They were all REAL! So this entire conspiracy they are […]

If you ever needed proof that government is collapsing, here it is live and in full color. Freshman Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) was just placed on the House Financial Services Committee. Who is the Chairperson? None other than the controversial Maxine Waters (D-Calif.). We now have two people with absolutely NO expertise in this field going to […]

Believe it or not, members of Congress continue to get paid even when there is a shutdown on the basis that Congress refuses to fund the government. Elizabeth Warren has come out and stated that she will donate her salary during the shutdown. The Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi, is paid $223,500 per year. The Democrats […]

Ruth Bader Ginsburg, while fighting cancer, has now contracted Pneumonia and is fighting for her life. From a purely cyclical perspective, there should be another appointment this year to the Supreme Court. Even on an average basis, since 1789 there have been 114 judges up to Brett Kavanaugh. That means at the very latest the next […]