The Rediscovery of the Business Cycle In 1978, former Chairman of the Federal Reserve made it clear in a publication the Charles C. Moskowitz Memorial Lectures stating: “The Rediscovery of the Business Cycle – is a sign of the times. Not much more than a decade ago, in what now seems a more innocent […]

In the piece I wrote on 08/17/12 “The End is Near” I referred to the “Biblical end of the world in April, 2010″, I stand corrected that it was a loose description that played on the media hype. it was the Day of Judgement that was suppose to be May 21,2011 to October 21, 2011 exactly 153 […]

Cycle targets that we provide are TURNING POINTS. This means an event normally takes place at that time be it a high or low. If ideally something should produce a low but does not and produces a high, it is typically extending the cycle to the next TURNING POINT. It looks at this time that […]

The Cycle of Political Change Republicans will Sweep Capital Hill in 1994 © Martin A. Armstrong Far too many analysts constantly compare every downturn in the stock market and economy to the Great Depression. The majority of stock market analysts have been looking for a major top and a big crash ever since they missed calling […]

By Martin A. Armstrong Princeton Economic Institute © Copyright September 26, 1999 For many years, I have pursued a field of study that is at best non-traditional. My discovery of a global business cycle during the early 1970’s was by no means intentional. As a youth growing up in the 1960’s, the atmosphere was anything […]

The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas believes that mass deportation efforts will negatively impact US GDP. Projections speculate that GDP could decline by nearly a percentage point in 2025, followed by larger cuts in the coming years. GOVERNMENT SPENDING IS FACTORED INTO GDP. I have repeatedly warned that Donald Trump would be blamed for the […]

Ursula von der Leyen may be the absolute worst head of state in modern history. She has single-handedly ensured the collapse of the European Union according to our computer. She destroyed the EU economy with her NET-ZERO policies, destroying farmers and sending food prices rising. She then imposed dictatorial policies demanding migrants be taken in […]

We’re pleased to announce that the next World Economic Conference will be held in: Orlando, Florida on November 21– 23, 2025 As many of you know, the WEC is not your typical financial conference. It’s where we bring together minds from around the world—investors, analysts, and policymakers—to explore how capital truly moves across borders, markets, […]

The Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Expectations foresees inflation returning to “pre-tariff” levels. As I have mentioned, the rising costs were a mere price correction and not a permanent rise in inflation. Tariffs were NEVER the root cause of inflation. The central bank predicts that inflation will read 3% in 13 months, which would be […]

Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro was once deemed the Donald Trump of his nation. In a similar fashion, the establishment has accused Bolsonaro of orchestrating a coup to retain power after the 2022 presidential election against Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. The people independently denied the results of the election and stormed government buildings a […]