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Socrates Status Report & Vancouver

QUESTION:  Dear Martin, As a person of average means, I am wondering if you would consider offering a basic affordable service to guide those of us who are just trying to have something to retire on. Something like, “Hold onto your blue chip stocks for now.” Or, “It’s time to sell your municipal bonds and buy […]

Right or Wrong – The Dark Side of Human Nature

I greatly appreciate the confidence saying I am newer wrong. But on an individual level, NOBODY can possibly be right all the time. This is why I try to emphasize that the numbers are the numbers and that all we can do is watch how everything unfolds. I have no personal vision of the future […]

What can we do?

QUESTION: Hi Martin How can the average American prepare for 2015.75 and the coming bond market collapse? What steps can we take? Is now a good time to sell any real estate we might own in the states? The property taxes in NJ are out of control and I am looking to sell my home. Is […]

Swiss Peg Collapses – The Euro’s Nightmare

On September 6th, 2011 the Swiss National Bank (SNB) was aiming for a substantial and sustained weakening of the Swiss franc after Swiss companies threatened to leave because the rising franc reduced their exports. The SNB would no longer tolerate a EUR/CHF  exchange rate below the minimum rate of CHF 1.20. The SNB set out to […]

Opinion v Capital Flow Analysis

Over the past three years, I have received countless emails about how I am wrong and if it were not for me commodities would rise. These nasty comments are typical from someone who wishes to live in denial and pretend that their OPINION is correct and that the world is wrong – never them. My […]

Treading Water

We see the potential here for a 5 months CONSOLIDATION (treading water) – not a 5 months collapse. That means no sustainable breakout just yet – just base building. The key support begins at the 16300 on the Dow. We need to see the capital concentrate in bonds to create a major bond bubble like […]

Bear Market or Treading Water? Getting All the Ducks in a Row

  A number of questions have come in since year-end asking what would happen since the Dow did not reach the 18500 level. We also warned that the support was really down at the 16978 level and we need a daily closing beneath this level to signal a sustainable decline for now. The main bank […]

Can The Dow Correct for up to 5 Months?

  A weekly closing in the Dow Jones Industrials below 17722 will confirm that the January correction where we have had that Panic Cycle due in the middle of the month is in play. This will open the door to a retest of the 16300 area. Keep in mind that we did NOT achieve the […]

Goodbye Inflation – Hello Deflation

I have been warning that the analysis portraying we were headed into hyperinflation was really nonsense. That entire idea was constructed only on the hyperinflation of Germany with old-school ideas of money. Much of those theories were antiquated in 1971 when we moved to the floating exchange rate system, yet the overwhelming majority failed to […]

Commodity Contagion

Equity markets around the globe have tumbled on Monday, led by commodity-linked shares as oil prices fell to 5-1/2-year lows and investors fled to the safety of government bonds. The so-called “smart money” is running into bonds and this is what we need to complete the bubble in bonds that will burst for BIG BANG. […]