In the normal world of capital flows, bonds decline when stocks rise. The talking heads that claim lower interest rates are bullish for stocks once again try to reduce everything to a single cause and effect that applies to a single frame in a long movie. Here we can see that bonds declined when stocks […]

QUESTION:  Martin, On Page A11 of the IBD today (5/29) a statement was made that seems to fit your claims.  It is something that having been in the business for 24 years I was unaware of.  The entire article is actually quite interesting. Please clarify the following, made in the 4th paragraph; …..BNP Paribas in […]

To try to explain the markets and how there can be a rising stock market with rising bonds, analysts characterize this weird trend as a US monetary experiment of the past four years, which has been caused by the Fed’s endless monetary injections (and pent up inflation expectations) while the bond rally has been due […]

The Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM) collapse in 1998 has been often referred to as When Genius Failed. The collapse of LTCM was instigated by the collapse of Russia. Everyone and their 5th ex-wife was long Russian bonds as bribes were paid to people in the IMF to ensure the loans would keep flowing to Russia […]

The Eu is like a guy in drag. All dressed up as a woman, but when you look under the dress you get more than a surprise in a Crackerjack Box. On the one hand they created a single currency, laws that allowed freedom of movement, and the right to receive social benefits from all […]

I have stated numerous times that a central bank is essential. Banks take depositor;s money on demand but lend long-term. When a crisis hits, depositors want their cash and the banks has assets no cash. This is why the Fed was created with an ELASTIC money supply authority. It was to create excess cash to […]

Behind the scenes there has been scrambling as Southern Europe moves closer and closer to outright collapse. I warned previously that our contacts high up in the German government made it clear more than one year ago that if the choice comes down to abandoning the Euro or Austerity, the Euro will win. Letting the […]

  JP Morgan, Jr Senate Hearing 1933 A Flash Crash in silver is no different than a flash crash in stocks, bonds, or anything else. It is the same root cause of all panics – the lack of bids. Every  stock market crash ever since 1907 has been followed by an investigation with the theory that […]

Bundesbank’s President Jens Weidmann was questioned for the first time by the press on the future of the euro. Weidmann renewed his criticism of the rescue policy of the European Central Bank (ECB). The announcement by ECB President Mario Draghi to purchase unlimited government bonds to stabilize the euro, Weidmann views that this threatens the very existence of the […]

Three regional Federal Reserve officials have called on the central bank to stop buying mortgage-backed bonds, citing the recent improvement in the U.S. housing market. Indeed, the US economy has improved and the rise in the stock market has the talking head talking to themselves in disbelief. The 800 pound monkey remains the German elections […]