QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, Nobody has a computer that covers everything. Your forecast at the WEC that the Democratic Party would collapse is unprecedented. Nobody has even contemplated that such a thing could happen. Yet right now this is unfolding. The new polls from NBC News and CNN. The former poll showed that only 27% of Americans held […]

  A new NBC News poll shows that the Democratic Party’s popularity has dropped to a record low. Only 27% of registered voters said they held positive views of the party — the lowest figure in the network’s polling dating to 1990. Former President Joe Biden continue to delude himself that he could have beat […]

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, You are widely followed here in Indonesia, being one of the few analysts who can cover our nation and the only one covering us objectively. Socrates has been right again with the forecast for rising volcanic activity in 2025. Indonesia has 270 million people, but we are on the ring of fire. […]

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said he expects inflation to be “transitory,” a word reminiscent of America’s situation three years ago when the Fed repeatedly urged the public to underplay inflation as it would improve. Conditions did not improve, as we later learned, and the Fed will have a hard time convincing the markets that this […]

I have been warning that we are approaching World War III as a distraction from the collapse of sovereign debt in Japan and Europe.  The total outstanding government and corporate bonds globally have now exceeded $100 trillion in 2024, as reported by the OECD. As I have also been warning, the central banks have been […]

Jerome Powell kept rates unchanged as our computer was projecting. However, he did weigh in on the state of the US economy, pointing out that Donald Trump’s policies were one reason why inflation is turning back up. He also reduced the Fed’s 2025 growth projection, noting that uncertainty around the slowing economy is increasing. The […]

  American households have been unable to pay off their debts. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York recently reported that household debt has reached a new all-time high at $18.04 TRILLION. Americans acquired an additional $93 billion in outstanding payments during Q4 of 2024, with half of this debt finding its way onto high […]

COMMENT: You say you do not advise Trump. But whatever you seem to project, he does. Others seem to be copying your forecasts, even debt ad ___ suddenly says the default comes when you can’t sell the debt. Interestingly, they do not have the historical examples or the database that you do. So, how does […]

QUESTION: The criticism of your Economic Confidence Model has been that it oversimplifies complex economies, ignoring variables like policy changes or technological shifts. Would you address that? DL ANSWER: This emanates from the economic academic community that is Marxist based that rests on the assumption that they can steer the economy through economic disturbances. I […]

There are calls for Britain to rejoin the European Union, with Parliament expected to debate matters on March 24. Nigel Farage worked tirelessly to protect Britain from Brussels. The latest proposal for Britain to rejoin the European Union is nothing short of economic suicide. This is not about what’s best for Britain—it’s about the EU’s […]