Interest Rates are not actually within the scope of the Fed’s power. It can create a base rate, but everything from there is indirect. That is why the Fed bought in 30 year bonds. It was hoping to create a shortage of long-term to reduce mortgage rates and encourage capital to buy mortgages. Everything they […]

Snowden is not the first to reveal what the NSA has been up to. I have heard this being commented on in meetings on the Hill as a matter of fact. The American press prefer to slander Snowden pointing to his girlfriend and the fact he dropped out of high school. Perhaps he is supposed […]

  One of the most fascinating aspects of market/economic behavior is how the majority MUST be wrong in order to fuel the movement. There are loads of articles and forecasts questioning the recovery and how the world will collapse into a black hole. But if everyone is short dollars/long gold it will never happen. Tons […]

I have written about the 224 year cycle. These turning points have marked major changes in political trends. Sometimes society survives mostly intact because we blink such as the replacement of monarchy in Britain or the overthrow of the king in Rome giving birth to the Republic in 509 BC and the birth of Democracy […]

COMMENT: Thank you so much. I am beginning to look at the financial landscape and can see what you have been stating. Today, the dollar down, gold up, Dow off. It is like a ballet. Everything is coordinated. Jeff ——– REPLY: Yes. You are starting to see the world for what it is. Nothing, but […]

QUESTION: OK you were right about gold. But your idea that money can be intangible without inflation I am not sure about. Are there any examples? ANSWER: Plenty. Aside from the fact that money was ALWAYS intangible in Asia and in Ancient Egypt before Alexander the Great’s conquest in 334BC, there are examples in Europe […]

QUESTION: Martin, Contrary to the sensationalism of this article, does the inversion basically just mean that gold is going down and the U.S. Dollar is going up? ANSWER: When gold is money, it obviously declines during a boom purchasing less as stocks and real estate rise. When the business cycle turns down, then WHATEVER is money […]

QUESTION: Marty; I get it. You are Galileo in the financial world. You are a threat to everyone from government, Goldbugs,  to analytical circles. That is why they are so afraid of you and desperately try to pretend you do not exist. The treatment you received from the Goldbugs was disgusting and no different from […]

QUESTION: Hi Marty, Has the ECM failed to predict events in the past? If so, which ones and were you able to modify to address the flaw? If not, what event(s) would need to occur to disprove the validity of the ECM? Best Regards, Kyle ANSWER: No. It is a composite of everything, not anything […]

QUESTION: “So Deutsche Bank is bankrupt and US investment and commercial banks are at big risk from rising yields, but all the stock prices are still going up because people will trust owning Goldman or Barclays stocks over owning government bonds???” ANSWER: I seriously doubt that bank stocks will do well. During the Sovereign Debt […]