Contract Conversions At Princeton, most forecasts conducted on futures markets are done on a “nearest futures basis” which means the most current contract month. For example, there are four contract months for the IMM currencies; March, June, September, and December. We base our forecasts on the nearest contract month until it actually expires. Since traders […]

The Reversal System One of the most important discoveries made at Princeton concerning economic and market behavior is that the market system is a dynamic complex network of nonlinear activity possessing an incredible degree of inherent order. The seemingly random appearance of price activity is merely a mask that hides the true nature of events. […]

How to Use the Reversal System The Reversals provide a map of precisely how far a market can move against the current trend without actually “reversing” the trend itself. This is true with all levels of Reversals generated from minor reactions to those of the major high or low. This is a very important concept […]

The Reversal System—Hedging versus Speculative Trading Strategies One of the purposes of our service is to demonstrate how to develop your own trading techniques using the numbers provided on the daily and weekly reports. The recommendations provided in our reports are NOT the most aggressive strategies one can employ using the Reversals. Furthermore, the use […]

How to Trade A Panic  Martin A. Armstrong Note: This is reprinted from the April 1994 issue of the World Report. Most people believe that it is impossible to forecast the wild and crazy panic moves that any market will go through at varying intervals over the years. It appears that most people think that […]

How to Use the Indicating Ranges Our Indicating Ranges provide an invaluable tool to assess the strength (or lack of strength) in a given market on all levels of price activity and from several different perspectives. The numbers provided in our Indicating Ranges are not derived from moving averages, oscillators or stochastics, nor are they […]

8.6-Year Review As a brief introduction to the 8.6-year frequency within the Princeton Economic-Confidence Model, let us follow its course beginning with the last major panic that took place in October 1929 from the US perspective. Factoring in the month of October as .75 to represent a decimal portion of the calendar year, the calculations […]

Specific Model Applications What We Said October 16th, 1987 Timing on IMM British Pound Timing on CBT US Bond Timing on S&P 500 Futures Timing on Gold & Silver Cash Index Timing on CBT US Bond Futures Timing on Crude Oil Timing on Deutsche Mark

Timing and Volatility Models Princeton Economics utilizes 5 separate models to identify turning points and periods of changing volatility. They are: Composite Timing Models Empirical Timing Models Trading Timing Models Bifurcation Models Volatility Models Composite Timing Models There are numerous types of cyclical activity within economies and markets. Some cyclical trends expand and contract with […]

Global Model Since the dawn of time, man has tried desperately to predict the future. Man has gazed upon the stars, summoned soothsayers and astrologers and sought guidance in the patterns of tea leaves and chicken entrails. He has studied the movements of planets, comets, and even the flight of an owl. However, no matter […]