There is a serious issue at the core of the USA-Russian renewed Cold War. Both sides fail to understand how and why the Cold War ended. This is a profound problem that impacts both Russian and Western attitudes risking war in the future. This very common assumption that the West somehow succeeded in causing the collapse […]

Here is a decent piece from BBC News on Obama and how he has handled more rising civil unrest than any other president. This is what our model is all about. There is a rising trend against government corruption on a global scale that is showing up everywhere. Part of this is the Generational Shift […]

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong; I studied at the Citadel Military College where I was introduced in Philosophy to your Economic Confidence Model. They taught it there in case you do not know. I must say, your recent comment distinguishing civil war and unrest coming from the people and international war arising from kings and ministers is […]

A number of people have asked what was this Marxist Anarchist movement inspired by Karl Marx (1818-1883) and are we seeing this rise again? The very idea of assassinating leaders such as President Lincoln and President McKinley was part of an international trend that began during the 19th century and was based upon the theory that […]

  Those that ask about the Dates of the Economic Confidence Model going back in time and forward should look at the page under the model that provides that data. The calculation is 3.145 years from the peak of each wave so 63.55 = 66.695

Matt Taibbi is back exposing the deal they snuck under the table for HSBC who got caught money laundering for drug dealers and terrorists. The bankers have been getting away with unbelievable fraud because they have been blackmailing government arguing who will sell their debt if they go down. The days of these bankers are really […]

QUESTION: Mr Armstrong, I have been a fan since 1998 and want to understand the concept of phase transition. If the Dow in Euros continues in a bull market while the value of the Euro is falling, then with the capital flows from EU into the perceived safe haven of the Dow, the Dow in Dollars must therefore […]

Sometimes you just have to be smacked in the face three times before you recognize when is happening. There is a rising tide that DEFLATION is starting to be seen as the real threat facing the world economy emerging out of Europe. I cannot stress enough that Europe is disintegrating before our eyes. Between Hollande […]

QUESTION: Hi Mr Armstrong. Going by your projections, is it reasonably safe to assume we will not have a major depression/crash before the 2032 ultimate cycle high? Many thanks. ANSWER: No. Nothing goes straight up. What does have to happen is the thinking process will invert and higher interest rates will be seen as bullish for […]

Gold had a chance to at least rally and clean out some shorts, but could not close above 1243. The Dow is in the same position. We may be setting up for a MAJOR protraction of these trends for the next peak in the Economic Confidence Model 8.6 Year Wave in 2024. This implies there […]