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Understand the Models – Bringing it All Together

QUESTION: Marty; You do not reply just on cycles. Your Reversal System is incredible. That seems to be something nobody can match. Then you also use your proprietary technical analysis and your Global Market Watch is purely pattern recognition that is also highly unusual. So I am correct in that no single model produces the […]

Question About Time

QUESTION: Dear Martin,  I have been following your projection of numbers and time, which is a serious tool to use as guidance. The question that keeps coming up is why are these numbers so important with weeks, months, quarters and years closings that can forecast the coming trend?  Everything in the normal world wouldn’t pay […]

The Sixth Wave

QUESTION: Marty; You do realize you correctly forecast the takeover boom and the reversal in trend in 1985 followed by the peak of Japan to the day and the fall of communism with your 1989.95 peak in the ECM. Then with 1998.55 you forecast the collapse of Russia and were named hedge fund manager of […]

Reviewing The Dow Arrays

COMMENT: Mr Armstrong, I have been the ultimate skeptic for so many claimed analysts give an opinion and that is really it. I have kept track of your arrays on the weekly Dow. I understand why the government wanted your model. Your model really works. Your array posted last October 16 picked the November high amazingly. […]

Even Language Has a Cycle

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, it seems that there is a cycle to everything. I am starting to notice there appears to be cycles in the use of words especially in a legal context. Your piece on “discretion” is interesting how it evolves to suit the times. Money Laundering began as a drug crime and now it […]

Understanding Forecasting

QUESTION: Marty, I think your recent gold call has made me understand your model much better. Your timing is the key. You gave the weekly Bullish at 1287.50 in your report and the timing. You said that 1309 is possible if we elect that weekly bullish prior to March 14th week. Gold rallied and stopped […]

Can Mathematicians Forecast Markets?

QUESTION: Greetings Mr Armstrong and thank you for your excellent blog! I have recently started reading Benoit Mandelbrot’s The Misbehaviour of Markets in which he states that stock prices probably isn’t predictable in any useful sense of the term (p. 6). I recall that you have stated that stock prices can be predicted but not […]

The Superbug Has Arrived

For years, there have been warnings that the overuse of antibiotics was a danger. Now that danger has arrived. A new superbug has evolved, as life itself is always a cycle. This new superbug is impervious to ALL known antibiotics, an evolutionary step that was never contemplated. This superbug has the ability to infect other […]

False Move on the Yearly Level

QUESTION: Marty; This is what you explained at the last WEC. The risk of a false move on the yearly level. Correct? ANSWER: Yes, it is always fractal. A Yearly False Move is rare, and it becomes the biggest possible slingshot to the upside. The Dow made a Yearly FALSE MOVE on a number of occasions. For […]

OPINIONS vs. Quantitative Modeling

QUESTION: Dear Martin, Do you expect all markets to align with the 2015.75 turning point (or the few months following, due to false moves)? Would, in this case, such an alignment correspond with high/low reversals in trend, and all markets would then align to the ECM into 2020? Thanks in advance SB ANSWER: The next three […]