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Australia: One Foot in Asia v the West

QUESTION: Hello Martin Armstrong, Australia seems to have one foot in the West and one in the East. With the fall of the Western economies and then the rise of Asian economies, how does that affect the Australian economy? Does the real estate bubble collapse the Aussie economies and then the rise of China creates the […]

Market Talk – February 14, 2019

  Asia: Asian markets were mostly flat today with the exception of the KOSPI index (+1.1%) and the Hang Seng (23 bps decrease). The Chinese Shanghai stock market slipped 10 bps, even with good economic data regarding their trade numbers in January. The concern is still with the US-Chinese trade deal as negotiations continue. The […]

Market Talk – February 13, 2019

Asia: The Asian markets had another good day today with the Nikkei increasing 1.34%. This puts the 12-month rolling value at minus 5 bps. Compare this to the Shanghai index, which was down 14.94%! Regardless, all Asian indices find themselves in positive territory for the last 30 days with the Hang Seng climbing 8.36%. Today, […]

Market Talk – February 12, 2019

  Asia: A stellar day all-around in Asia, but the Japanese markets enjoyed the majority of the region’s gains. The Nikkei 225 shot up 2.61% today – playing catch up as the market was closed yesterday. Three markets produced double digit growth today: Taiyo Yuden, Haseko, and Tokai Carbon. One of the more recognizable names, […]

Market Talk – February 11, 2019

  Asia: Foundation Day is a day designed to mark the celebration of the founding of a nation. In the case of Japan, this is for the mythological foundation of Japan and the accession of its first Emperor Jimmu. For this occasion, the markets were closed in Japan. Therefore, we would like to extend our […]

LIBOR v SOFR

QUESTION:Dear Martin: Do you have any concerns for the equity markets from the upcoming conversion from Libor to SOFR (the secured overnight financing rate). A recent article from Business Insider highlighted the following: “Libor, linked to about $350 trillion worth of financial products, will be replaced by an alternate pricing benchmark for everything from mortgages […]

Market Talk – January 29, 2019

Asia: Pretty uneventful day, with the Nikkei up slightly at +8bps, the Shanghai Composite down -10bps and Hang Seng drops -16bps. Looking ahead to tomorrow we have quite the day with Chinese Manufacturing data being due, which as we already see has great influence over energy markets – a negative number here will have a […]

Market Talk – January 28, 2019

  Asia: Slightly subdued day in the Asia markets as the Nikkei was down -60bps but still well within the recently formed upwards channel, which started at the beginning of the month. On Sunday the BOJ meeting minutes were released, the minutes showed that the policy makers were disagreeing over the appropriate level of the […]

Market Talk- January 25, 2019

The meandering of US markets failed to provide an excuse for Asia, but it found its footing anyway and can point to tech as the key driving force. There is still a lot of hype in China for domestic support and official direction helping sentiment and today that became more targeted. This enthusiasm in helping […]

Market Talk- January 24, 2019

Most core Asian indices finished todays trading on a positive note. Both Shanghai and Hang Seng indices recovered from early losses and managed a close at the days highs. Both closed up +0.4% on continued talk of domestic support and the possibility of shorter working weeks. In Australia the jobs number released better than expected […]