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Market Talk – January 20, 2023

ASIA:   China kept benchmark lending rates unchanged for a fifth month on Friday, as expected, but analysts say future cuts are possible as the central bank has pledged to support the COVID-ravaged economy. The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) – on which most new and outstanding loans are based – was left at 3.65%. […]

Market Talk – January 19, 2023

ASIA:   China’s annual consumer inflation rate accelerated in December, driven by rising food prices even as domestic demand wavered amid restrained economic activity. The consumer price index (CPI) in December was 1.8% higher than a year earlier, rising faster than the 1.6% annual gain seen in November, data from the National Bureau of Statistics […]

Market Talk – January 18, 2023

ASIA:   China’s central bank continued to inject funds into the financial system through open market operations on Wednesday. The People’s Bank of China said on its website that it has conducted 133 billion yuan ($19.67 billion) of seven-day reverse repos at an interest rate of 2 percent, and 447 billion yuan of 14-day reverse […]

Market Talk – January 17, 2023

ASIA: Rising home prices and rentals in large Indian cities could pose a new challenge to the country’s central bank in its fight against inflation, even though headline consumer price rises have likely peaked, analysts warn. Housing rentals and ancillary costs have a 10.07% weightage in India’s consumer price inflation basket and are near three-year […]

Market Talk – January 13, 2023

The NYSE will close on Monday in honor of Martin Luther King Day. Market Talk will resume again on Tuesday, January 16. ASIA: The major Asian stock markets had a mixed day today: NIKKEI 225 decreased 330.30 points or -1.25% to 26,119.52 Shanghai increased 31.85 points or 1.01% to 3,195.31 Hang Seng increased 224.56 points […]

Is the Fed a Den of Thieves? Or Independent?

COMMENT: The Fed….why would anyone put a greedy fox in charge of the hen house. Mr. Armstrong, you, of all people have more than a passing acquaintance with the corruption of the big banks. And these are the kindly gentlemen that have been appointed to “guide” monetary policy for our greater good. Simply don’t understand […]

Our Extreme Long-Term Model Forecasting Tools

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, Your reputation precedes you. They call you the legend because you have been the only analyst who forecasts events years in advance. Throughout the rise and fall the stock market, you called for only 2 year correction from 2000 and 2008 and the market would remain in a bullish trend. I read […]

Market Talk – January 12, 2023

ASIA:   China’s economic growth is likely to rebound to 4.9% in 2023, before steadying in 2024, a Reuters poll showed, as policymakers pledge to step up support for the COVID-ravaged economy. Gross domestic product (GDP) likely grew just 2.8% in 2022 as lockdowns weighed on activity and confidence, according to the median forecasts of […]

Market Talk – January 11, 2023

  ASIA:   A World Bank report has projected India’s economy to grow 6.9 percent in FY23, much lower than the 8.7 percent growth achieved by the country in the previous financial year. “Growth in India is projected to slow from 8.7 percent in FY2021/22 to 6.9 percent in FY2022/23, the latter revised 0.6 percentage […]

The Fed & the Misinformation

QUESTION: Marty, I was there at your Berlin conference when one of the attendees openly admitted he was from the Bundesbank. He was very open about it. There have been other central bankers at your WEC. I suppose they have to attend just to get a whiff of the trend. Powell has come out and […]