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Dow Update for Month-End Closing of February 2016

We did not elect any bullish reversals. March remains our Directional Change target and the Dow could not close above 16934 for February. Looking ahead, we see the weeks of 03/14 and 03/23 (array posted on the private blog for the Investor level). We have also not elected any Weekly Bullish Reversals. The 17000 level […]

Dow Outlook – Month End February 2016

  Technically, the Dow Jones Industrials almost set up to make a “Channel Move” between two channels, but they interestingly overlapped instead with no gap between. This is one reason the S&P 500 could break last year’s low, but not the Dow. We made a new high for the month on Friday closing at 16639.97. […]

Does the Dow Need to Break the 2015 Low or Did the S&P 500 Fulfill That Requirement?

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, since the S&P did break last year’s low, does that qualify for a slingshot if the Dow does not? Thank You for all you do GW ANSWER: We do not have to make a new low in the Dow. The S&P 500 penetrating last year’s low was sufficient. We are approaching our […]

Down & Dirty for the Dow? Feb. or March Low?

We have two Weekly Bearish Reversals in play today. The first is a key level at 15994 and the second is short-term at 15942. Certainly, a closing beneath both will warn that the Dow may break to test under the 14000 level going into as late as the week of February 22 near-term and possibly […]

The Dow: How Far Down is Down?

  QUESTION: Marty, you said the bulk of any decline takes place in the first two to three units of time. It appears we are seeing that in gold to reach your 1300 gap, how far down do you see the Dow? ANSWER: That rule prevails on all time levels. The faster we rally in […]

The Dow – Down & Dirty?

The Dow is playing catch-up to the S&P 500, which broke last year’s low. The lagging Dow still reflects the difference between big international money and domestic. Nonetheless, our opening pivot number for this week was 16153. Opening beneath that number warns we may close lower for this week moving into next week where we […]

Gold & the Dow

QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong, I have a question for your Blog . Do we need a falling dollar, like today, to see Gold rise? Thank you SH Germany ANSWER: No. When the majority begin to see that the government is really in trouble, gold will rise with stocks as they did going into 1980 as well as […]

Dow & the Immediate View

The Dow needs a closing above 16350 to temporarily stabilize. Otherwise, we are not out of the woods here until we pass March. To suggest that the major low has been made, the Dow would need to climb over the 17750 level on a weekly closing basis. Keep in mind we are in a string of […]

Europe Moving Into Meltdown?

QUESTION: Marty, now the OECD is predicting a financial crash worse than the 2007-2009 event in Europe because they say there is over €1 trillion in bad loans that cannot be collected. They seem to be also changing their opinion to fit your model. Were they there in Berlin? ANSWER: We cannot comment on if the OECD is following […]

The Dow

The Dow has fallen back to retest last year’s low. The number we gave is weekly, not daily. So that comes into play for Friday’s close.