The key level to watch today is 15940 for the close. This is our Weekly Bearish and if it holds for the closing, then we may see a bounce next week. We have Directional Changes every week now into the week of Feb. 8 and the week thereafter appears to be the main target.

Back on November 13, 2015, we reported: “The Dow is pulling back on schedule. We do not see a breakout to the upside. This should tread water for a bit, waiting for everything to align. A closing today below 17785 will signal that this is not ready to breakout and a retest of support is […]

The high for November was 17977.8, not 17210.43. I quoted the low instead of the high. See, we humans do make mistakes. Socrates was correct. That is why people ask, “What does the computer say?”

QUESTION: Marty; At the conference you stated that 2016 should be the major turning point in deflation. Do you still see this concluding for the first quarter? Thanks HG ANSWER: The monthly array in the Dow published back in July appears to be working on target. November was the reaction high where the Dow reached 17977.8 […]

The U.S. share market has fallen following the problems in China. We elected the Daily Bearish Reversal at the 16933 level and this warned of a test of the next important support zone. A daily closing below 15980 will warn that we may in fact penetrate last year’s low and pull off a slingshot move. […]

QUESTION: Marty, at the WEC you said the Dow would go down in the first quarter. How far do you see this going this time? ANSWER: We elected a monthly Bearish Reversal at year-end and closed lower than 2014. The main support starts down at the 15850 level followed by 15370. We can see even […]

China has suspended FOREX business at three main foreign banks for the first quarter of 2016 in an effort to curb the outflow of capital into the rising dollar. This is an interesting attempt to curb the rise in the dollar and it is clearly showing the overall trend in motion. It is interesting that China […]

The Dow Jones Industrials still remains in a bullish posture on a broader perspective. The real critical support will lie at 16500 and the Panic Support is well below the market at 13100. Panic Support is the level, if breached intraday, where a Panic Crash unfolds. That is the real important level for 2016, but […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, at the conference you said the US share market would continue to move sideways and there will be no breakout to the upside until 2016. After Fridays action I assume this is still on target. Where is support this time? Curious ANSWER: The key support lies down at 16887. We need a weekly closing […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, you have said that gold adjusted for inflation has not exceeded the 1980 high. Have we exceeded the 1929 high in the stock market? Just curious KW Dow Jones Industrial in LOG Scale ANSWER: The 1929 high on the Dow Jones Industrials was 386. That adjusted for inflation in 2015 dollars would […]