QUESTION: Are you saying that the China trade is not that big of a deal to the US economy? It seems like the press makes it sound like this is the end of the world and we will go into a depression. HS ANSWER: The total amount of goods that China sells into the US […]

China understands the difference between the German mercantilist model of manufacturing and sells to everyone else and the United States which became the largest economy in the world because it allowed its domestic consumer economy to develop. China will become the largest economy in the world and take the crown from the United States because […]

ASIA: More news emerging regarding a China retaliation of a possible US-Taiwan arms sales. A lot of the talks are subjective in nature, however, the deal for 66 aircrafts looks as if it will go through. China recently made an intention to stop purchasing US agriculture products, however, according to Reuters there have been some […]

There are now officially more $100 bills in circulation than $1 bills. The interesting aspect is that when we dig deeper, what is revealed is the fact that the bulk of them are being hoarded outside the United States. This is very interesting for we see the same basic trend emerging from the dollar v […]

ASIA: A new report released from Australia highlighted Chinese military force in the region. The report suggests significant improvements in Chinese military capabilities that could overwhelm US bases in the region in a matter of hours. This may indicate that the US stranglehold of the region could be at an end. Perhaps the report was […]

  QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; You seem to be the only person who distinguishes private interest rates v public. Has the marketplace gone insane along with Trump demanding 100 basis point cut by the Fed? I find it curious how they only quote the same people in the press who seem to preach the government position […]

Come September, Draghi at the ECB will make loans to Eurozone banks on a long-term basis at rates less than the short-term lending window. The objective is to encourage banks to lend money to businesses. Nobody thinks about letting businesses bypass the banks mainly because the banks are in such a vulnerable state because Europe […]

The report that paints the darkest possible scenario for Britain without ever mentioning that 60% of its trade is outside the EU and that any attempt by the EU to punish Britain will destroy the German economy which is preparing for a very deep recession since Britain is its #1 trading partner in the EU […]

ASIA: There are reports of military personnel in the city’s largest sports complex across the Hong Kong border in neighboring Chinese city Shenzhen. This is a reminder to Hong Kong that China is ready if the situation gets out of hand for local police. Meanwhile, a report from website Gizmodo is reporting that China’s largest […]

The War Cycle is by far on schedule. We have tensions rising almost everywhere. In Asia, we have the Kashmir Crisis as hundreds of people took the streets in Srinagar, the main Indian city, to protest New Delhi’s decision to lift the special status of the territory. In Hong Kong, there are fears that China […]