QUESTION: Hi, I have two questions: a) do you believe US dollar has been kept artificially lower than it should be (or at least in long range trading range) by at least two central banks lately? if so how long you think it would last, years? b) you remind many times gold does not yield so […]

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries’ (OPEC) agreement to cut production is supposed to end Saudi Arabia’s policy of the last to years to pump-at-will. This has sent Middle Eastern economies into a tail-spin and the glut of oil has meant rising taxes and selling bonds to raise capital. With this new claimed reversal of that […]

We saw a healthy Asian session today with the Nikkei up almost 1/5% at one stage following the impressive US mood. The market could not maintain its strength closing up 0.9% which was a small reaction to some mixed data but did provide Europe with some opening guidance. The Shanghai market was closed today for […]

  There is a very interesting rumor from behind the curtain. What they are concerned about is that Trump has raised more from small donors under $200 than any previous Republican in history. Even John McCain in 2008 and Mitt Romney in 2012 collected less than $64 million. They are concerned that more small people are […]

Chancellor Merkel cannot afford to bailout Deutsche Bank from the point of view of a conflict perspective within the EU since she has taken such and intolerable hard line in the Italian bank rescue not to mention Greece. Merkel fails to understand that the very pretense of government was to protect the people. Taking their savings […]

The Fed told Congress it would buy stocks if Congress allowed it. This statement has caused a lot of people to scratch their heads. Will this cause all the stock bears to rethink their prognostications of a major stock market crash? This was not even on the radar of most people. Some have reported this […]

The one thing that markets do not like is uncertainty and that is exactly what we have suffered from the past couple of days. Asia reacted to the Deutsche Bank news with heavy selling despite better than expected numbers from Japan and in late trading the futures have responded yet again. Having lost 1.9% in […]

QUESTION: I am a great admirer of your Socrates model, but there’s one thing in your personal pronouncements that seem to contain a contradiction. On the one hand you are predicting a decline of the U.S.A. and other western economies, mainly caused by excessive government interference in the economy. However, on the other hand you […]

Private health insurance in Germany now faces a massive contribution increase in 2017 of more than 11%. Add to this the banking crisis and we will start to see the core economy in Europe turn down really hard. This will impact about 9 million people who are privately insured. The industry needs the money, which they could […]

Ten of the large hedge funds are withdrawing from Deutsche Bank. What must be understood here is that Deutsche Bank is the main clearing house for trades in Europe. The problem the hedge funds have is where do they move for clearing? Short-term, they can move to New York or London. With over $60 trillion […]