The Rule of Reactions is always one to three. For a trend to develop, it must exceed the three unit of time limitation. So we need the market to move higher beyond today. At the time of this posting, the Dow is trading at 16628. We need a closing above 16460 to help stabilize the […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, Thanks for all you do.  I do have one question in regards to the Phase Transition above 23000 into the 35000-40000 number you have spoke of.  If we experience a close below 15500 for the month of August and see a continued correction into October to  around the 12000-13000 number would the […]

The cycles and oscillators still suggest a three-day bounce into Thursday. We would need a daily closing back above 16461 to suggest that the low will hold at least temporarily. Then we should retest the support. This is where it will become critical going into Monday that we hold this week’s low. If we break and close August […]

Asian shares are still struggling on Wednesday as it begins to dawn on investors that the Chinese economy really is slowing. The implication for that is more deflation in commodities as they have accounted for nearly 50% of the purchases of commodities these past few years. As with respect to world total GDP, China has […]

The closing of the Dow at 15666.44 was below support at 15824.73. Additional support lies at 15176.26 and a closing beneath that level will warn of a break down to the 14334 area. We do have four Monthly Bearish Reversals under 15000 with a gap thereafter down to the 13650 area, and the long-term support […]

In the Dow, we can see that Energy bottomed out so we have a counter-trend at work right now. We do have a pair of Daily Bearish Reversals at 14769. We continue to see the prospects that today will perhaps remain as the lowest closing. Nonetheless, a new intraday low is possible given that we […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; In Munich, you said the US share market had peaked in euros and the low looked to be in August. Is that view still on track? WG ANSWER: Yes. When you plot the Dow in euros, the high was March, not May, as it was in dollars. This suggested that August would […]

  The 16258.10 is a BULLISH REVERSAL, not  BEARISH. The underlying Daily Bearish are 15340.00 and 15300.30, followed by 15095.00. Technical closing support lies at 16041.78. A closing back above this technical support will help stabilize the market. The broader support lies at 14769 to 14587. A closing below 15961.79 today would warn that we could […]

That is a Monthly Bearish at 16680, not a Daily. Penetrating that intraday merely meant we were blowing through to the main Monthly Bearish Reversal lying at the 15550. So a daily closing below that number today has no impact. On our model, this is like the 1987 Crash moving to the same points within […]