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Market Talk – December 8, 2015

China’s trade surplus did not live up to expectations, and as a result, we saw weaker prices across all major Asian indices. Shanghai and HSI were both down around 1.5% whilst the Nikkei lost only 1%. The Nikkei did attempt to lead the pack when Q3 GDP saw a small recovery, but when the mood within […]

Money vs. Fiat

QUESTION: Why do you do not see that money must be backed by something tangible? ANSWER: That is an antiquated barter perspective; you are blind to reality. Your proposition is that only gold has value and you yourself are worthless. This idea of fiat money is just out of line with reality. The traditional definition […]

Socrates Investor Level for the General Non-Trader Public

The Investor level of Socrates is live by invitation only. Invitations can be requested at www.ask-socrates.com. This is ONLY the Investor level for the average person without reversals and arrays, which will be provided in the Trader level beginning January 1. Here you have the choice of selecting a 30-day trial for $10 dollars, which […]

Market Talk – December 7, 2015

Asia saw a mixed session with prices marginally lower, but not too much to write home about. It was not until Europe opened that we started to see a pick-up in volatility that provided dealers with something to talk about. The oil and energies market provided the discussion point with TWI, Brent, and Nat-Gas all […]

Censorship and Self-Censorship of the Press

Many articles are highlighting the censorship of the press in the International New York Times. An article criticizing Thailand’s generals for shooting the economy in the foot was seen in all print editions expect Thailand, where they displayed a blank space to let everyone know something had been removed ­– censorship. What was NOT reported in the West […]

The Next French Revolution

Politics in France are changing and the shift underway is ahead of the 2017 presidential elections. Today, France’s far-right National Front won almost 30% of the vote. Between the high taxes, abuse of socialists who have driven the economy into the ground (as evident by the share market decline when everyone else had been making […]

Real Estate Has Peaked

The U.S. real estate market has turned for the top end has peaked. Luxury homes for the top 5% are now off by 2%. In my personal search, I have been looking at homes in Florida for the past year. Some of the high-end homes they showed me on the beach were still on the […]

Switzerland Abandons Its Historic Principles

Switzerland has completely capitulated its historic safe-haven status to the entire world. Switzerland was born from a tax revolt against the Hapsburg dynasty in Austria. The tax collector made William Tell shoot an apple off his son’s head with an arrow. Switzerland then remained neutral in war and religion, serving as a safe-haven for those who […]

Schengen Agreement on the Verge of Extinction

We warned last February that the cornerstone of the EU — the freedom of movement to create the United States of Europe — would collapse. This effort to create a borderless Europe became known as the Schengen Agreement and was signed on June 14, 1985 (1985.452) between five of the then ten member states of the EU. […]

The 2014 Cycles of War Report

This is a special report that so many have been asking for as we head into this turning point in 2014. The Cycles of War is a major research effort we have undertaken over the years to gauge the rise and fall of empires, nations, and city-states. The War Cycle has its origins in two primary categories. First there is the traditional concept of international conflict with one nation invading another. This has been going on for centuries. However, there is a second source that is as vital as the first and is often even more devastating economically. This is the internal conflict of civil unrest that often leads to revolution. Naturally, revolution can be very serious for it was the source in modern times of the American and French Revolutions, the Russian Revolution, and the rise of Mao in China. It is certainly arguable that civil unrest presents a greater systemic risk than international conflict.

It is vital to understand this cycle and what it means for herein lies the fate of gold and the Dow Jones Industrial Index not to mention the Euro and European markets. This report covers the world including the cycles of war with respect to China and Russia in addition to the U.S., Japan, and Europe.

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