The 1985 World Economic Conference Back in 1985, we warned that the Sovereign Debt Crisis would emerge on 2015.75. How was 2015.75 forecast so far back? This is pi; 31.4 years into this Private Wave which began on 1985.65. At the 1998 World Economic Conference, we put out this slide listing the sequence of events. […]

  The leading story for the sell-off has been Wall Street’s shock by the mounting worries over instability in China and emerging markets. The tumultuous decline has sent investors clamoring to race into safe-haven assets amid the confusion. Why anyone missed this is really befuddling since China’s share market peaked in 2007 and the rally […]

Our models show a gap in the Reversals, which is what you look for in a panic move. We warned, “A closing below 16680 would warn of a drop to the 15500 area.” This was the GAP. So far, the Dow fell to 15370.33 on our target for this week as the Panic Cycle. We ran our […]

QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong, Thank you for all your writings. I may not understand them all, but certainly appreciate what you are doing to inform those of us you care what is happening in this world economy. Question: With the dow tanking, is this considered the FALSE move you wrote about previously. That in essence […]

COMMENT: Marty, I want to thank you for showing me how real analysis actually works. I think so many people have been use to the typical buy and hold and its going to the moon forecasts that they do not understand how you even function. I am writing because I think many may misinterpret how […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, a friend introduced me to your site. He said you are the source and everyone, even the most famous, seem to reshape their forecasts to mimic you in one way or another. Some have the audacity to pretend they have their own models with dates just a few days either way to […]

QUESTION: Dear  Armstrong, Your work is absolutely brilliant – Thank You. In your paper “a forecast for real estate”, your graph forecasts real estate trending down from 2015 till 2033. Based on this forecast will the real estate collapse begin in Australia after 2015.75? If so when will buying opportunities begin? In some of your interviews you mention that private assets will rise […]

vs. Establishment Tons of e-mails have been pouring in asking (1) how our computer forecasts so many things, and (2) how it is often right decades in advance. The two front runners are the two non-politicians. The establishment’s choice, Mr. Bush, is holding on to 5%. The press keeps attacking Trump in an attempt to […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, Have you ever been wrong? ANSWER: On a personal level, of course. We learn from our mistakes, not from our successes. I do not understand why there seems to be such a personal focus on someone’s forecasts. The typical scammer offers some newsletter along the lines of “if you followed these calls you would […]

The Chinese revaluation of yuan has unsettled Asian equity markets and the obvious spread across the globe. The Nikkei and Hang Seng were off 1.6 and 2.4% respectively, which rolled over into Europe. The recent performance in both the DAX and CAC finished today and became the worst performers — down around 3.6% each.  The U.S. market was also feeling the pressure with the […]