Here is gold in British pounds. You will notice that there is no real nice V bottom. Gold in pounds is still crawling along support. This implies two possibilities. First, new lows for gold lie ahead and two, the British pound will also rise against Euroland. Europe appears to be the real disaster that […]

QUESTION: Martin, I have a friend who is concerned about the impact of Russia’s breaking with the petro dollar.  I explained to him your point that trade is a small piece of the world economy and that the dollar (which is really the U.S. debt market) is still the only market large enough to absorb […]

The Swiss Peg cracked because of the flight of capital from Euroland. There is still a risk that the money flows more into treasuries going into the end of the summer. The more unstable Euroland APPEARS, the more capital will flee to the dollar. The higher the dollar, the more PROFIT on US debt for foreign investors.   […]

I greatly appreciate the confidence saying I am newer wrong. But on an individual level, NOBODY can possibly be right all the time. This is why I try to emphasize that the numbers are the numbers and that all we can do is watch how everything unfolds. I have no personal vision of the future […]

  The next crisis will be the currency pegs against the dollar. Here we have pegs from Hong Kong to the Middle East. We will have the same problem for as the dollar is driven higher, thanks to the implosion in the Euroland, these nations will import DEFLATION from a rising dollar. This will break […]

  The dramatic move in the Swiss franc may have confirmed two other interrelationships. Against the dollar, we wrote at year-end “The Swiss is currently trading at 9934 and a mere year-end closing above 9785 will signal that indeed the 2011 low for the dollar will hold and that a test of the 11800 followed by […]

  People have no idea the real level or taxation that they pay. A flight from Zurich to the USA runs $975. The actual air flight is $498 on United Airlines and the taxes are $477. A staff member from our Swiss office brought some chocolate as a gift for Christmas. What was about $300 […]

  The desperate attempt to keep the Euro together is really setting the stage for sending Germany into a Great Economic Depression. Merkel now wants to raise the tax rate to pay for all her bailouts of Europe. She cannot comprehend that raising taxes to support the Euro is reducing disposable income and reducing the […]

The move in the Swiss was extraordinary because of the massive short-Swiss through loans and their own buying of Euros. The audacity of the IMF to even state they will look into this as if they have any such authority or credibility is just stunning. They want the inside info so they can line their […]

  Notice that the DAX has held up the best even against the Dow. Why? Capital continues to move within Europe to Germany assuming the Euro will crack and they will get Deutsche marks once again. Even the French CAC-40 illustrates that capital is starting to flee from PUBLIC to PRIVATE assets. Even Greek shares […]