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Market Talk- July 24th, 2017

A clear distinction was drawn between Shanghai (+0.4%), Hang Seng (+0.5%) and SENSEX (+0.7%) exchanges and the ASX (-0.6%) and Nikkei (-0.6%) as they both suffered declines. Some Chinese industrial profits have been encouraging, possible regulatory changes and improving economic data continue to support momentum. The yen trades comfortably with a 110 handle – a […]

Spain & the Rise & Fall of Empires, Nations, City States & Feudalism

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I suppose when you said that the marriage of Isabella and Ferdinand the the final stage of unifying Spain rather than the beginning. Correct? ANSWER: Yes. The idea of a nation state began to emerge in Europe during the 10th century. This is reflected even in the coinage which to a large […]

Market Talk- July 20th, 2017

A strong Asian session following yet another record US performance with the added enthusiasm for central guidance from both the BOJ and the ECB. The BOJ left rates unchanged but we did hear them cut the inflation forecast for this and next years. Earlier we also saw the June Trade data release which proved to […]

Market Talk- July 19th, 2017

  A healthy close for Asia in todays trading after the uncertainty seen from a mixed US session. The large cap DOW recovery helped but it was the broader S+P and NASDAQ that contributed most for Asia’s impetus. The Nikkei only marginally closed in positive territory but it was the fact that it closed above […]

Italy Threatens to Blow Up the Refugee Crisis

If you are against the refugees, many will call you a racist even though the refugees are not of a single race. The problem is they are economic migrants – not refugees from exclusively Syria, which the West can stop in a heartbeat. The crisis is economic. These people coming in are getting the benefits […]

Market Talk- July 18th, 2017

It was US news again that drove market direction for Asia after we heard late in the US time zone that two additional Republican’s opposed the healthcare bill. The DXY and US index futures were weaker on the news dragging much of Asian equities with them. In China the data for Home Prices released lower […]

Navigating the Business Cycle = Prosperity

The key to the future is understanding (1) the past and (2) how everything functions. Sure there is a risk of a Dark Age after 2032. Hopefully, we can learn from the past to push things in the right direction at least for once. For whatever reason, the people who like to run government are […]

The Rising Youth & Civil Unrest

Here is a picture taken from a reader in Hamburg. The degree of violence rising in Europe and in the United States post-Trump election, have been organizing the youth. I have warned that revolution always comes from the youth so this is not something we should push aside lightly. It was wisely summed up that […]

Market Talk- July 17th, 2017

The better than expected GDP release we saw from China was unfortunately, only a positive influence for a short period, then profit taking and summer liquidity took over. Shanghai has had a good run so far but having had the Index inclusion and probably suffering from a stronger currency. Second quarter released at 6.9% compared […]

Artificial Intelligence & the Future

A number of people have asked about Elon Musk’s reference to us already being cyborgs and the possibility of humans being transformed into house cats dominated by Artificial Intelligence. Despite his reputation, his thoughts seem jumbled. I have been involved in developing AI since the 1970s. In coding the Socrates systems, I have not found […]