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The Long Depression – the First Great Depression

What actually constitutes the Long Depression has been debatable, for at first it was called the Great Depression, and then that title was transferred to the 1930s. Consequently, some limit the term Long Depression to the worldwide price recession beginning in 1873 and running through the spring of 1879. Six years is not exactly a “long” depression, that in […]

Schema Frequency & the Rabbit Hole

  QUESTION: Martin, Thank you for staying alive and moving forward with Socrates!. I am a big fan of yours. I read your blog everyday and I have reserved to attend your Princeton conference this year. I hope I make it as I think it will be good for me to hear you in person […]

Maunder Minimum Petri Dish of Political Change

The global warming pseudo-scientists are desperately trying to keep their funding. Now these con artists are trying to claim that that the oceans’ surface water is cooling and below the water is warming. Those who stop driving to work, opting to walk or ride a bicycle instead, are perhaps speaking at least of what they […]

Socrates Examples of Questions

HELP: Questions must be in proper English form. For example, “WHERE IS”, “WHAT ARE”, “PLEASE LIST”, “DO YOU SEE ANY PATTERNS”, etc. You must also specify the level as daily, weekly, out to yearly. In addition, please specify the market, such as Gold or the Australian 10-year bonds. You may inquire as to DOWNTREND, UPTREND, full […]

Everything is Complexity = Strength

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I was reading Wired and then I read your example of three states of government. I suddenly realized you discovered something that was unbelievable. You constantly mention that everything is complex like an onion. I know you have also a physics background. You talk about chaos and patterns upon patterns. I read […]

Ancient Merchant Banking – the House of Lucius Caecilius Jucundus – the Banker of Pompeii

  Merchant Banking is where banks always began throughout history. Trading in the various commodities and engaging in import/export was the path to wealth from ancient times to the present. The takeover of Wall Street came from the commodity side where traders were born. It began with the Gold broker house of PhiBro who took […]

The Schema Frequency

There are actually three dimensions to the Economic Confidence Model and no, I have never published the third for security reasons. This is the dimension that identifies the sector coming into focus. The wave function of the ECM is far more than just two dimensions, for it is this third dimension that introduces complexity and tests the mind […]

Separatist Movement in Spain

The formation of Spain dates back to the marriage of the Catholic Monarchs Queen Isabella I of Castile and King Ferdinand II of Aragon (Catalan). They were both from the House of Trastámara and were second cousins, being both descended from John I of Castile. They married on October 19th, 1469 (1469.8), in the city […]

Gold – China – Here We Go Again

QUESTION:    Hi Martin, I was “of one mind” when it came to gold and silver and the shisters that clam “manipulation to the downside,” “gold is going to 5K,” and “gold has bottomed” and on an on. Your site is the only source of information that I trust anymore and thanks to you I […]

Business Cycle & Economists

COMMENT: You are correct. I went to the London …. and they said there was a business cycle but it was random and but it could not be defined. Cheers RB REPLY: Yes. Somehow, everything inverted after Keynes. Neither Marx nor Keynes denied the existence of a business cycle. Both sought to manipulate it, but […]