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Market Talk – July 16, 2015

Yesterday, dealers spent most of the day waiting for the Greek vote and then, later in the day, Janet Yellen’s semi-annual HH (Humphrey Hawkins) testimony in front of the House Financial Services Committee. The Greek vote was rather well publicized throughout the day and confirmation that the measures would be accepted should be no huge surprise. With […]

The Long Depression – the First Great Depression

What actually constitutes the Long Depression has been debatable, for at first it was called the Great Depression, and then that title was transferred to the 1930s. Consequently, some limit the term Long Depression to the worldwide price recession beginning in 1873 and running through the spring of 1879. Six years is not exactly a “long” depression, that in […]

Why The Federal Reserve Worked During the 1930s

When the Great Depression began, over 8,000 commercial banks belonged to the Federal Reserve System, but nearly 16,000 did not. There were still state banks that were not members. Those non-member banks operated in an environment similar to what existed before the Federal Reserve was first, established back in 1914. People criticize the Federal Reserve […]

IMF Says Greek Debt Should be Foregiven

Even the IMF has come out now to warn that Greece may need a complete debt write-off. This is sending an economic earthquake through Europe, for it undermines the political position of Merkel entirely. There is no doubt about this: Greece cannot pay and cannot raise taxes while simultaneously having any viable economy. This is […]

Obama & Iran Deal – Behind the Curtain

Whenever there is some political deal, it is NEVER what they present to the public with such magnanimous fanfare. There is always a hidden agenda. Here, Obama tells the American people this deal will prevent Iran from gaining nuclear weapons. Why the sudden change of heart? Surely, negotiations could have produced the same result five years ago. […]

Goldman Sachs a Target for Hiding Greek Debt?

The story of a possible lawsuit against Goldman Sachs over hiding Greek debt is starting to make the press. We do most certainly live in interesting times. The Independent is now reporting that a leading adviser to debt-riven countries has offered to help Athens recover some of the vast profits made by the investment bank Goldman Sachs […]

Absence of Socialism v Austerity & Gold Standards

  There have been many attempts at creating a gold standard and this notion that money should retain a value yet simultaneously people want to earn more with rising wages and assets values. Even Merkel’s “austerity” is a derivative of this idea that money should be somehow tangible in value yet simultaneously Euroland allows for […]

Is Tsipras an Idiot or a Fool?

The left-wing Syriza Party of Greece is starting to question what Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras is up to. Merkel is demanding austerity FIRST before any loans. Additional murmurings behind the curtain claim that Merkel wants a list of all assets owned by Greece. If Merkel thinks that she can seize Greek assets upon a default, she is […]

Market Talk – July 13, 2015

Only an hour into this morning’s trading and the news broke of the possible Greek Deal. Bunds were hit hard (down over 170 tics) and BTP’s (Italian Govt. Bonds) rallied 2 full points, pushing all peripheral spreads tighter. Greek 2yr Govt. Bond traded down 600bp to 23.75%. Equities loved the news and have been in […]

Talks with Greece Collapse

The EU is simply self-destructive. There was no way to merge all these economies together without debt consolidation from the outset. The euro will collapse and break apart. Brussels is just brain-dead for they cannot force austerity upon the rest of Europe with the upcoming economic decline. Talks at an EU Summit with Greece collapsed. […]