With the exception of the Shanghai market today — IF we can excuse a 6.5% decline — most markets were well behaved, generally speaking. European stocks were off but only modestly and the Dow is slightly down after exceeding yesterday’s high. The U.S. dollar continued its stronger tone to Emerging Market (EM) currencies. Again, Russia […]

QUESTION: Dear  Armstrong, Your work is absolutely brilliant – Thank You. In your paper “a forecast for real estate”, your graph forecasts real estate trending down from 2015 till 2033. Based on this forecast will the real estate collapse begin in Australia after 2015.75? If so when will buying opportunities begin? In some of your interviews you mention that private assets will rise […]

vs. Establishment Tons of e-mails have been pouring in asking (1) how our computer forecasts so many things, and (2) how it is often right decades in advance. The two front runners are the two non-politicians. The establishment’s choice, Mr. Bush, is holding on to 5%. The press keeps attacking Trump in an attempt to […]

The Japanese yen has peaked against the dollar. The dollar in fact elected a YEARLY Bullish Reversal at the end of 2014. This is yet another confirmation that we are facing a strong dollar ahead, ushering in this age of DEFLATION, which should start to hit in the USA after October. This is impacting everything, not the least of […]

Does China’s devaluation reduce the odds of the Fed raising rates? Some people assume that is the case. However, the Fed is in a box and unless they raise rates, the next crisis in pensions will wipe out far more than most people anticipate. True, everyone from the IMF to most other countries are begging the Fed […]

The general perception that Middle Eastern countries are flush with cash and deliberately try to keep oil down to harm Iran when it begins to sell is rather childish. Budgets rose and became bloated. Gasoline prices even rose in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Dubai stocks fell to the lowest in more than two months, […]

QUESTION: Marty— Every post is enlightening. I was intrigued that there is no ‘plunge protection team’. I believe you, because you have been behind the curtain. Then what is the ‘Presidents Working Group’ and what does Kevin Henry do? Enlighten me more! Thank you. RK ANSWER: That was a presidential executive order from 1988. I was called […]

The State Department e-mails show that Hillary bought the book “Send: Why People E-mail So Badly and How to Do It Better” by David Shipley and Will Schwalbe. That book contains a special chapter — chapter six: “The E-mail That Can Land You in Jail.” —showing that she knew what she was doing. The chapter includes a section entitled “How to […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, Have you ever been wrong? ANSWER: On a personal level, of course. We learn from our mistakes, not from our successes. I do not understand why there seems to be such a personal focus on someone’s forecasts. The typical scammer offers some newsletter along the lines of “if you followed these calls you would […]

The devaluation of the Chinese renminbi (yuan) raises serious implications both economically and politically. The mere fact that a peg exists allows for political criticism, as if this were some currency war. First, China devalued the renminbi for its economy to remain on an even keel in an attempt to keep growth and employment high. […]