The local press in Thailand are reporting the collapse in economic confidence among local Economists’ with respect to the overall economy in Thailand. This is the lowest it has ever been in the past three and a half years. Our models clearly demonstrate that we are looking at a continued economic slide especially among emerging markets […]

Argentina – The Blue Dollar   This notion that hyperinflation is how a nation collapses is very superficial. The real issue behind the collapse of a country is the collapse in the CONFIDENCE of the government. This is why we tend to see what people call “hyperinflation” in revolutionary and third world economies compared to […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong. my father attended your technical training seminars in Princeton during the Eighties. He always told me that if I did not understand what I was doing, no matter what model or technique I used, I would fail. He said that was the golden rule you taught back then. Does that still apply […]

QUESTION: From reading your blog, my understanding of your view is that all relationships are in flux with respect to markets and market drivers, except for confidence.  For example, the stock/bond relationship can change over time, so stocks do not ultimately go up or down based on what bonds do but based on where confidence […]

QUESTION: Good morning. This question is for Martins blog (Martin then, I guess). What will happen if everyone starts to act according to the forecasts made by the computer, AND use Martin Armstrongs knowledge / advice as a basis when trying to be proactive to the developments forecasted. Is the human nature and creativity diverse enough, […]

We will be holding a 2 day World Economic Conference March 18th & 19th in Princeton, NJ, at the famous Nassau Inn downtown directly right across the street from the University and campus. Space will be limited here (no audience of 300 this time). This is the historic Inn where the founders of the United States stayed when […]

Understanding the Trading Model     September 7th, 2012 The primary objective of creating a model is to defeat your own personal emotions. At highs and lows, the average person gets swept away in the euphoria. At tops, the charlatans come out and predict it will never end. At the bottom, the news is so […]

The 1985 World Economic Conference   We have recovered a set of the 1985 World Economic Conference materials. This was a major institutional event held in Princeton, New Jersey. The materials included all major markets as well as major economic statistics covering North America, South America, Middle East, Asia, and Europe. The importance of these […]

The Business Cycle and the Economic-Confidence Model   In separate research works on our Economic-Confidence Model published since 1979, the complete and detailed historical review stretching back several centuries will provide the in-depth analysis of this model for those interested in more serious study. The primary purpose of this discussion is to present an overview […]

This guide offers a detailed look at some of the research models we have developed over the past years. Capital Flows Introduction Global Model Artificial Intelligence* Timing Nature of How to Use Timing and Volatility Models Forecast Arrays Sample Arrays* Long-Term Cycles Business, Economic-Confidence 8.6 Year Review Reversals System How to Use Hedging vs. Speculative […]