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Looking more like Trump v Hillary

Donald Trump absolutely crushed Cruz after taking all five states including Pennsylvania and Maryland. Hillary Clinton won Pennsylvania, Maryland, and Delaware, but Bernie may walk away with two states. The fact that Trump and Bernie are there shows that the public is really fed up with politics as it stands. It is looking more and […]

Market Talk – April 26, 2016

Unfortunately, it was just the Nikkei that prevented a positive “clean-sweep” for core Asian indices today. The Nikkei remains nervous ahead of the BOJ despite the JPY showing no signs of reversing its recent weakness, as YTD it remains down 7.5%. China and Hang Seng both saw late rallies take them back into positive territory […]

Market Talk — April 25, 2016

This week all eyes will be focused on Central Banks, namely the BOJ, RZB and time again for the Federal Reserve. Stocks have started the week on a nervous note with all core markets falling as talks of further easing weighs on sentiment. The Nikkei and HSI both attempted early recoveries but to no avail […]

Failure of Abenomics

Abenomics (アベノミクス Abenomikusu) in Japan are the economic policies advocated by Shinzō Abe since the December 2012 general election, which elected Abe to his second term as Prime Minister of Japan. Abenomics is based upon “three arrows” of fiscal stimulus, monetary easing, and structural reforms. This has been a complete failure as the economy continues […]

Market Talk – April 22, 2016

A little overdue but today we heard from the Bank of Japan and possible proposals to take rates even further negative and the likelihood banks passing these levels on to end retail. The Nikkei obviously liked it rallying 1.2% on the day whilst the Yen weakened over 2%. Both the Shanghai and HSI had mixed […]

Draghi at War with Reason & Other Central Banks

Tensions are starting to rise between Germany and the ECB because Draghi will not admit his negative interest rates are causing an economic meltdown. “We continue to expect them (interest rates) to remain at present or lower levels for an extended period of time, and well past the horizon of our net asset purchases.” Draghi is absolutely […]

Market Talk – April 21, 2016

Hang Seng decided to join the Nikkei’s performance overnight with both indices returning a 2% gain for the day. Sadly, the Shanghai was unable to join the fun with that market eventually closing down -0.7%. Actually, that was a result as earlier in the day it had been down 4%. A large shortage of liquidity […]

Market Talk – April 20, 2016

Nikkei opened well and also saw a retracement of the JPY, but unfortunately, other Asian indices did not follow suit. Having seen a 0.5% gain in the first hour of trading, we spent the rest of the day drifting back to almost unchanged. Shanghai and Hang Seng, meanwhile, were hit from the opening and really […]

Central Banks Are Trapped – Are Higher Interest Rates the Only Answer?

COMMENT: Marty, well it looks like you have done it. The central banks are going to start raising interest rates right in line with your model. It is interesting how your computer puts the entire world before you to see. Keep up the good work. They obviously are starting to follow you. SS REPLY: I […]

Surving the Coming Transition

QUESTION:  Dear Martin and co-workers, Firstly, I want to express my appreciation for the writings at the blog (it opened my eyes! and I am very much awake now) and I read a daily. I am a stay-at-home-mother, artist, and I had never before gained knowledge about economics , it’s corruptive nature, and leading role in […]