Tensions are starting to rise between Germany and the ECB because Draghi will not admit his negative interest rates are causing an economic meltdown. “We continue to expect them (interest rates) to remain at present or lower levels for an extended period of time, and well past the horizon of our net asset purchases.” Draghi is absolutely […]

Hang Seng decided to join the Nikkei’s performance overnight with both indices returning a 2% gain for the day. Sadly, the Shanghai was unable to join the fun with that market eventually closing down -0.7%. Actually, that was a result as earlier in the day it had been down 4%. A large shortage of liquidity […]

Nikkei opened well and also saw a retracement of the JPY, but unfortunately, other Asian indices did not follow suit. Having seen a 0.5% gain in the first hour of trading, we spent the rest of the day drifting back to almost unchanged. Shanghai and Hang Seng, meanwhile, were hit from the opening and really […]

COMMENT: Marty, well it looks like you have done it. The central banks are going to start raising interest rates right in line with your model. It is interesting how your computer puts the entire world before you to see. Keep up the good work. They obviously are starting to follow you. SS REPLY: I […]

QUESTION:  Dear Martin and co-workers, Firstly, I want to express my appreciation for the writings at the blog (it opened my eyes! and I am very much awake now) and I read a daily. I am a stay-at-home-mother, artist, and I had never before gained knowledge about economics , it’s corruptive nature, and leading role in […]

An encouraging session for Asia overnight but especially the Nikkei. Bouncing from yesterdays lows with an enticing 600 point (3.7%) rally. We did not see that response from either the Shanghai or Hang Seng but positive sessions for both is acceptable for any day. The JPY remains a focal point between dealers as all are looking for […]

The market continues to press everyone up against the absurd. The Dow rallied so far above the 18100 level that it defied the logic that continues to be bearish. Likewise, if we see crude oil pressing highs and a close above the last high of 4242, then we should fill the gap up to the […]

  The 2016 World Economic Conference will probably be held in Orlando. We are not planning to hold one in Europe at this time. We will not be holding an introduction, instead, we will provide a DVD of the introduction from the 2015 WEC in Berlin so we can discuss forecasting ONLY. This year, we […]

The gold stocks are really a mixed bag. Some companies will go belly-up and others will survive. Those with big debt positions should stay far away for as interest rates rise, they will get into a lot of trouble. For now, the London Gold Mines have made a seven-month rally. We have a Monthly Bearish […]

COMMENT: Marty; This is really going to be interesting now that banks are existing proprietary trading and the organizations who have spun this tale that the metals are not substantially higher because they are manipulated will have nobody to blame. What will they say if the metals collapse? They are really ignorant since they see […]