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Market Talk – December 3rd, 2015

Continued speculation that additional official support would be available next week in China supported the Shanghai Stock Index yet again. The strong close (of over +1.3% higher) in Asia has been short-lived as the events in Europe have reversed most, if not all, of today’s move (as seen this evening in futures trading). Initially, all […]

Understanding Energy Models

QUESTION: Your energy model turned negative on the daily level just before the rally in the euro. That meant the market was then oversold if I understood your explanations. Thanks for a great conference PK ANSWER: Yes, the fact that we came down to a cluster of reversals not to mention the year pivot at […]

Why the Euro Is A Dead Currency

  I have been warning that government can do whatever it likes and declare anything to be be a criminal act. In the USA, not paying taxes is NOT a crime, failing to file your income tax is the crime. The EU has imposed the first outright total asset reporting requirement for cash, jewelry, and anything […]

Turkey Denies Russian Ships Access via Bosporus

What is becoming clear is that Turkey has most likely NOT acted alone against Russia. They have more likely than not fired the first shot in what may become World War III. Turkey has been buying the oil from ISIS and thus funding them. Yet at the same time, they are part of NATO and […]

Market Talk December 2nd, 2015

Rumors between dealers that Chinese authorities could be about to introduce new incentives to boost property prices saw the Shanghai Index rally 2.3% in today’s trading. The Hang Seng closed marginally firmer also (+0.5%) but only a smidgeon in comparison. The Nikkei did not benefit from a weekly close above the 20k level and so […]

The FED v Bias & Prejudice

COMMENT: If the Fed is so smart and understands the problem with low/negative interest rates, then why didn’t it hike rates in September?  Better yet, why didn’t they raise rates YEARS ago?  The Fed has kept rates near zero for seven years but now suddenly realizes that this is a problem? I am surprised that you […]

China's Renminbi Reserve Status

While the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is expected to give the renminbi (yuan) a political victory by including the Chinese currency in the list of reserve currencies, few in the West even understand what this means. Including the renminbi in the SDR economically means nothing for it will not dethrone the dollar any more than […]

War & Putting It All Together

COMMENT: You forecasted a world war.‎ What my generation only looks back at through a historical looking glass in an attempt to isolate the starting events of the last great war you have called into focus in real time as events unfold in the current great war. In advance of events unfolding. This experience is unsettling, […]

TIME & PRICE

QUESTION: As a long time follower since 1980 you always stressed time was more important than price. Your benchmark time points stress time yet you still picked price can you explain? — NI ANSWER: Yes, we give projections for the ideal targets, but they are broad in one way and when geared with time they can […]

Ebola Returning?

COMMENT: Marty In your report on diseases you had mentioned that Ebola will initially fade but be back in full force in 2016 going into 2020 with devastating results. Looks like you are right again. Please see report from CNN about Ebola coming back to Liberia. http://www.cnn.com/2015/11/21/africa/liberia-ebola-return/index.html Would Ebola be restricted to Africa or are […]