The markets are generally staging quite nicely for the ECM turning point. What generally rises into the turning point turns back down, and that which declines finds a bottom and rises. We have been stating that as long as the May high held, then we should decline in the U.S. share markets. A weekly closing […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, a friend introduced me to your site. He said you are the source and everyone, even the most famous, seem to reshape their forecasts to mimic you in one way or another. Some have the audacity to pretend they have their own models with dates just a few days either way to […]

Does China’s devaluation reduce the odds of the Fed raising rates? Some people assume that is the case. However, the Fed is in a box and unless they raise rates, the next crisis in pensions will wipe out far more than most people anticipate. True, everyone from the IMF to most other countries are begging the Fed […]

The support on our weekly models lies at 17253 and 17068. Weekly closings beneath these numbers will confirm that a correction is in progress. Keep in mind that a decline in the share market should send capital into a final spin with the rush to a flight to quality creating the last peak in government. […]

The next two months going into September will be both interesting and critical. The NASDAQ Composite made new highs in July, but the S&P500 and the Dow Jones Industrials failed to exceed May highs. The general consensus is that there will be a rate hike in September and another in December, so if we back-off from […]

The Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) decided on Wednesday not to participate in the next credit-round for Greece. The Board denied new loans to Athens because the country’s debt is too high, and the Greek reforms requested by the Troika are not likely. It is entirely possible that we will see Greece in crisis […]

Socrates will provide three primary levels of service: Investor, Trader, and Institutional. The distinguishing factors are designed based upon needs. We will have the overall outlook and trend for the Investor; the Trader will have access to timing and price target objectives as well. At the Institutional level, we will provide portfolio construction, asset allocation, and two […]

QUESTION: Hello Mr. Armstrong, Humans often decide based on faith rather than thought if they have to choose one. Your ECM cycle is amazing, because it visualizes the change in confidence which influences so many decisions in the world! Is it possible to reach human minds trough logic at all? How can we communicate important […]

As we approach the month-end closing for July 2015, we have a minor monthly bearish reversal at 1155 followed by the key reversal at 1084. The Bullish stands at 1287, so without a closing above that level, nothing has changed. Crude oil had a monthly bearish reversal at 5650 and 4667. We fell intraday to 4668, […]

Sometimes it really does not matter what the underlying truth might be – markets move based upon anticipation and typically reverse with the news. The Fed is looking more and more like it will begin to raise interest rates for it can see that the pension funds are in trouble. They need higher rates to […]