Dennis Lockhart, President of Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, stuck to his guns late Monday by stating that he still expects the Fed to raise short-term interest rates in the next few months. I have been warning that without higher rates, the Fed is facing a pension crisis because rates have been kept way too low […]

COMMENT:  I carefully read through all your missives you had sent over the weekend, highlighting the importance of Monday for the Dow, and the levels given. You even said “Pay attention now Monday could be the intraday low. The open will be crucial”. And the low so far indeed did occur in the opening few […]

I keep telling people that the central bank of China is far more professional than any other central bank. When I was invited there during the Asian Crisis, I was stunned to be invited over some academic. When I got there, I found that everyone had experience. They had worked on dealing desks around the world and […]

The world share markets remain volatile yet should begin to stabilize now showing tentative signs that the panic of Monday is starting to subside. The reported epicenter of Shanghai for the rout, however, has suffered another big sell-off. The mayhem in China’s equity markets showed no signs of abating on Tuesday, as the Shanghai Composite index […]

Despite the fact that the rally in Shanghai was by no means a real bull market, regardless of the percentage move back up, keep in mind that what goes up big also goes down in a hurry. This market can make new lows in today’s session, taking a hint from the USA and Europe. Our […]

“Wild” is an understatement to describe today’s equity market moves. Some say the Chinese are at fault for their unexpected move in currency, but whatever the reason for the increased volatility, you can be sure they will increase margin requirements, which will add to the volatility and further the decline in liquidity. All Asian equity […]

Our models show a gap in the Reversals, which is what you look for in a panic move. We warned, “A closing below 16680 would warn of a drop to the 15500 area.” This was the GAP. So far, the Dow fell to 15370.33 on our target for this week as the Panic Cycle. We ran our […]

This three-month rout in equities is scaring the hell out of everyone. It has changed the view that the Fed will not raise rates, which has sent the dollar lower in what appears to be the bubble in government, particularly in Europe. The bells are ringing this Monday across world markets with a 9% nosedive […]

The markets are open on Sunday in the Middle East and we have seen follow through with the sell off that rocked the equity markets in Asia, Europe, and the Middle East. This does not always reflect a continued trend on Monday morning’s and is rather more of a completion of the previous week. (See Dubai […]

QUESTION: A false move? I don’t follow.. If as you say the European money that’s been buying US stocks is now heading back to Europe, who will be the new buyers of US stocks? ANSWER: A False Move is an event that must shake the tree to get everyone out of their longs, causing many to then short. […]