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The Real Story of What Went Down Today in DC

I just got off the phone with REAL contacts on Capitol Hill. John Boehner is a country-club-Republican who stands for nothing of any true substance. He will cut a deal for the sake of cutting deals and believes you can split the difference over golf. He was not a fan of the sequester. Nonetheless, he barely held […]

The Real Story What Went Down in DC Today

I just got off the phone with REAL contacts on Capitol Hill. John Boehner is a country-club-Republican who stands for nothing of any true substance. He will cut a deal for the sake of cutting deals and believes you can split the difference over golf. He was not a fan of the sequester. Nonetheless, he […]

Europe & Japan Going Down the Toilet

Question: “Europe along with Japan look like they are preparing to be flushed down the toilet,” would you anticipate their equity markets to be flushed down the toilet as well.  (Not necessarily a crash, but a very large correction). ANSWER: NO! This is part of the Sovereign Debt Crisis. I was speaking politically ONLY – […]

The Dow

The Dow Jones Industrials have only reached 14102. They have not yet exceeded the 2007 high. Nonetheless, the market is paused for significantly higher highs and for now we are still in a staging position. Today should have been a Directional Change and the Dow backed off. Still, we face a lot of volatility building […]

Dow – Near-Term Risk

There is clearly a risk of a temporary high this week. It is 13 weeks up, and the momentum is losing ground. Nevertheless, our energy models are not excessively overbought. Here is what the resistance looks like. Volatility starts next week. If we get a low into July/August, then a rally will follow thereafter. A […]

Gold, Dollar & the Dow

The questions about gold v the Dow seem to be relentless. Here seems to be the number one question people ask. “Are you saying Gold & the Dollar and Dow can rise together?” Most of the nonsense about gold are sales pitches designed to convince people to buy. They far too often are not well […]

The Dow 20,000 or Bust?

The Dow Jones Industrial Index has been pressing against the 2007 high, but we still need a monthly closing ABOVE 14280. Actually, we face rising volatility in March and April. As we approach the ECM target date of August 7th, 2013, we will need some caution. If we obtain a monthly closing ABOVE 14280 soon, […]

Japan & Russia – Dow & Dollar Bears

If you ever wondered why the Dow Jones has rallied when all these domestic forecasters predict the collapse of the dollar and the Dow, the simple truth is they are so biased and married to this scenario of 1929 that they cannot see the nose in front of their face. They fail to grasp that […]

Clarifying the Dow

2014 is the next big turning point. That means we either get a high or a low, We did NOT achieve a Yearly Bullish Reversal at the end of 2012. We need a monthly closing ABOVE 14280.00 to signal a 2014 high. The failure to elect the Yearly Bullish Reversal is a caution that we must remain […]

Dow Off to New Highs?

The Dow closed the week at 13895.98 providing yet additional buy signals warning that we may yet see new highs on Monday. Everything is still on track for a high in 2014. There is a potential for a intraday high in 2015 leaving 2014 as the highest yearly closing. The next key Weekly Bullish Reversal […]