The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet expanded to a record $4 trillion in the week ended December 18th. The Fed balance sheet has expanded thanks to QE  buying $85 billion a month in Treasurys and mortgage related assets since last January. The Fed’s balance sheet has expanded from $891 billion in 2007 without creating inflation. This is […]

The U.S. Federal Reserve announced plans to trim its aggressive bond-buying program by $10 billion but will maintain its key interest rate at low levels for even longer than previously promised. This is precisely the way things always go in Washington. Granted, only a 12% of the analysts thought the Fed would Taper today pushing […]

Gold has made a sharp drop today as it still winds its way down. The concern that reaching a budget deal will also help the Federal Reserve to reduce its bond buying is on point. The budget agreement is another factor that goes to the heart of the gold propaganda machine that we would be […]

QUESTION: We didn’t see Quantitative Easing stimulate the economy? Was it all the money pouring out the cracks to overseas? Thanks GH ANSWER: You have to look deeper than the headlines. Yes, it sounds like a lot of money $85 billion a month should have been inflationary in a closed system. But pick up the […]

QUESTION: From reading your blog, my understanding of your view is that all relationships are in flux with respect to markets and market drivers, except for confidence.  For example, the stock/bond relationship can change over time, so stocks do not ultimately go up or down based on what bonds do but based on where confidence […]

  The Great 1906 San Francisco Earthquake 5:12 AM – April 18, 1906 QUESTION: Another thing I thought of is I wonder if your models can be used to predict major earthquakes and other similar events?  I understand there has been some good research done that has found a good correlation between them and solar sunspot […]

On Monday, Congress held its first congressional hearing on virtual currencies focusing on bitcoin. As Congress discussed bitcoin, the price of one bitcoin soared to more than $750 apiece. Overlooked was the concern focused on anonymity and lack of regulation. Personally, it is hard to imagine a world where they will allow bitcoin to survive when they […]

A speech delivered by Larry Summers at the IMF Research Conference on Nov. 8, 2013, has caused a real stir and is being hailed as brilliant, succinct, and a ground-breaking presentation that explained what many say is the most pressing economic matter of our time. The speech is being widely praised of course by Paul […]

QUESTION: I have read the following statement  & wish to corroborate it as fact from you, whom I consider best informed: “ Today the two largest holders of US Treasury debt are not investors or even foreign central banks. The two largest holders are the Federal Reserve and the Social Security Trust Fund. “ Is […]

QUESTION: Martin, why do you often talk out of both sides of your mouth about Gold?  You might say Gold can go to $12,000 per ounce, but it is headed to $600 first. Isn’t gold in permanent backwardation?  I believe the previous record for Gold backwardation was 3 days near major lows, but aren’t we […]