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Cycles & Turning Points

QUESTION: Hello Mr. Armstrong; Rome was fantastic!. I find it very interesting that you hold the conference on the dates when the markets hit their peak and I come back and Monday we start the decline that you cautioned us that we could see at the conference. Was this planned:)? Cycles are amazing and now […]

Still Snowing in the Heart of America – The Longer Winter & Shorter Summer Cycle

COMMENT: Well you said this winter would be long and the summer shorter. It is still snowing here in the heart of America. It looks like your computer is correct again. Instead of funding research for billion dollars to pretend there is global warming, they should just subscribe to Socrates. Would save a heap of […]

Why Has Everything Turned Sour? Is it the Press? Or is the Press Part of the Cycle?

QUESTION: Hello Mr. Armstrong, I´d like your opinion on this, During 7 Decades in which our lives got better, longer, richer, safer, healthier, better educated, more peaceful and more stimulating. Even World poverty has decreased in a rate never seen before, still, news coverage got increasingly negative What explanation could there be for this? Is […]

The 8.6-Year Cycle in the Sun & Solar

Solar storms are important events yet they come in different sizes and different types. They are caused by disturbances on the Sun, and are most often coronal clouds associated with coronal mass ejections (CMEs) that are produced by solar flares emanating from active sunspot regions. They can also erupt from rarer coronal holes. Solar filaments […]

The Rally Beyond 2015 in the Dow Has Proven We are in a Cycle Inversion

QUESTION: There are many people who are now saying we are headed into a recession. Your model shows we are coming to the end. Yet you have been the only analyst who has been correct. There are bankers warning the stock market will collapse by 50% because it always goes down in a recession. I […]

Socrates’ Forecasts Are Already Identifying the Approach of a New Business Cycle

  The Socrates’ Array on Vancouver real estate published back in 2015 picked the high in 2017 and the crash into 2019. The high in the top line was forecasting 2017 rather nicely. Note that things begin to change in 2020-2021. Not that prices in real terms rise, but this is lining up with the ECM […]

The Decline in Quality is Part of the Cycle

QUESTION: Hi Marty, Wanted to ask you if you are noticing the same thing as me regarding the ‘quality’ of goods and services these days and if this is history repeating itself again, such as the fall of the Roman empire? To explain, I am noticing that the quality of the goods and services I buy […]

The Business Cycle & Why They Pretend it Cannot be Forecast

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I have studied you Economic Confidence Model and found it to be extremely accurate in forecasting the business cycle. When I showed it to my professor here at ——— he responded that itis impossible to forecast the business cycle. He would not even engage in a conversation about it. Why are they […]

Passive Aggressive Society & the Cycle of Revolution

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong I am currently based in Oklahoma City OK and recently received a citation from the District Attorney’s office, Oklahoma Uninsured Vehicle Enforcement Diversion Program, after a photo of my vehicle’s license plate was snapped while driving on a turnpike thoroughfare. The citation accused me of driving without insurance and attached a hefty fine […]

Internal Migration – The Cycle or City States

  There is an interesting book entitled The Chinese Exodus. This work explores the sociological and theological discussion going on concerning China’s internal migration since the marketization reform in 1978. While the book documents the social and political processes impacting the experiences of internal migrants from the countryside to the city within China, the attempt […]