All over the place they are touting that the stock market will crash and burn. Indeed, when you say there is a coming crash, everyone immediately assumes that means the stock market. It appears that the bulk of those who claim to be analysts are all proclaiming the coming stock market crash. This is typical […]

The amount of cash rushing around on the short-end is stunning. Yields are collapsing into negative territory, and this is the same flight to quality we began to see at the peak of the crisis back in 2009. The big money is selling the 10-year or greater paper and everyone is rushing into the short-term. […]

QUESTION: Martin, I am a believer in your work and the effect of time and cycles complicit in everything. My question to you relates to Socrates. If everyone followed the calls made by Socrates, wouldn’t this result in crowded trades and thus exacerbate volatility? Appreciate all of your work, IGP ANSWER: We have just recently exceeded […]

Computer models typically fail for the same reason why human forecasting from a gut personal perspective becomes a joke. In both cases, if there is no experience with the past, neither can possibly forecast the future. Such models have failed because they lack the historical database on a global scale. How is it possible to […]

QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong, I think this would help readers. I kind of don’t get it. How does the decrease in international velocity of money lead to the youth not having jobs? I don’t see the causation. — Cheers, PC ANSWER: The VELOCITY of money is how fast people are spending and using money – its turnover rate. The […]

I have been doing a lot of interviews in Germany, from TV and radio, to newspapers and magazines. It is clear that they are starting to get the message that this is not about opinion. Every economist has recognized that there is a business cycle. The approach has been starkly different from medicine. Instead of […]

There are many aspects that are lining up with the turn in the ECM (Economic Confidence Model) from the Blood Moon and the Jewish Year for forgiving the debts, to France imposing restrictions on cash in September, and even in Germany the laws that protected about half a million people so-called dachas there in East Germany […]

“The Forecaster” sold out at every venue it has been shown. When I have attended, we have held Q&A sessions that often go on for more than an hour. It has been making national TV news in Germany and now journalists are lining up all across Europe. All of this is not because of me […]

I have been warning that the governments of the West are in severe trouble. We face the worst economic crisis, perhaps in modern history, with the distinct risk of moving into a state of Economic Totalitarianism. The governments are well aware of the Economic Confidence Model (ECM). Many people have questioned, “Why have they not killed you?” […]

The reaction rally in the Euro appears to be on schedule. The March low at 10458 held during April, so at the very least that implies a 2-3 month reaction rally. Bank dealing desks have reported to us that their trading lines have been cut. We previously reported that we suspected the ECB had asked […]