There is a serious issue at the core of the USA-Russian renewed Cold War. Both sides fail to understand how and why the Cold War ended. This is a profound problem that impacts both Russian and Western attitudes risking war in the future. This very common assumption that the West somehow succeeded in causing the collapse […]

We warned that the banks have turned the corner when their cycle finished last year. The NY Post has come out stating that being a banker is not so great anymore. When the ECM turns down 2015.75 into 2020, things for the banks are going to get a lot worse. They are hated perhaps even […]

  The Euro is still pressing higher against the dollar on deflation. The geopolitical risks have not yet kicked in and may not until after June. The European Central Bank’s (ECB) decision to leave monetary policy unchanged demonstrates it is not worried about inflation nor do they realize the broader impact of a strong euro on […]

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong; I studied at the Citadel Military College where I was introduced in Philosophy to your Economic Confidence Model. They taught it there in case you do not know. I must say, your recent comment distinguishing civil war and unrest coming from the people and international war arising from kings and ministers is […]

To all those old clients asking if we picked the timing for the conferences linked to the geopolitical turmoil in Ukraine as we did in 1987 with the Crash and 1985 with the turn of the ECM, the answer is always yes. We use the model to target when the conferences should be most interesting […]

The key resistance in gold on a nearest futures basis stands at the 1400 zone on a technical basis the weekly level. On our model, A Daily Bullish Reversal stands at 1344 nearby while on the weekly level the major barrier overhead remains at the 1420-1425 level. Of course, the gold promoters always proclaim a […]

  The string of suicides among the leading bank employees is indicative of the change in trend. The major Wall Street banks including Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Credit Suisse, subsequently told junior bankers to take more time off since the death at Bank of America last August of a 21-year-old Bank of America intern […]

Historical Turning Points on the Economic Confidence Model (6000 BC – 2072 AD)   Historical ECM Turning Points – PDF File        Wave    (#) 8.6 PI 2.15 940 2063.05 2065.2 2066.275 2067.35 2068.425 2069.5 2070.129 2070.495 2071.65 939 2054.45 2056.6 2057.675 2058.75 2059.825 2060.9 2061.529 2061.895 2063.05 938 2045.85 2048 2049.075 2050.15 […]

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Your cycle of war seems to be truly amazing. It was a fascinating read. My question is this. I also understand that 911 took place precisely on the day of your model. Besides your cycle of war predicting World War I and II to the day, has your Pi conjunction that targeted […]

I have stated for years that the banks are NOT great traders – they are manipulators. You can tell the bias and untrustworthiness of mainstream press for just about every organization criticized Greg Smith’s book – Why I Left Goldman Sachs. Any journalist who dared to support Goldman and diminish what Smith wrote about is […]