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Tag: Inflation

Iran Is Watching Its Economy Collapse in Real Time

Iran is now watching its economy unravel in real time. The Statistical Center of Iran reports that GDP collapsed 10.1% during the first quarter of the Iranian...

The Fed Is Raising Rates

The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates for the first time in three years, increasing the federal funds target by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%. The...

Costs Up, Wages Down – Inflation Prevails

Consumer prices in the USA rose 0.4% in August, four times July’s 0.1% increase, while annual inflation remained at 3.4%. The politicians will point to that...

The Economy Is Stagnating

  The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge rose again in July, with the headline Personal Consumption Expenditures index increasing 0.2% for the month...

The Strait of Hormuz Is Repricing the Entire World Economy

The politicians continue to speak about the Strait of Hormuz as though this were merely a regional dispute between Iran and its neighbors. That is complete...

Wholesale Inflation Is Cooling, But Do Not Confuse That With Deflation

Wholesale prices were unchanged in July, coming in below expectations for a 0.2% increase. The Producer Price Index was flat after a revised 0.1% decline in June,...

Inflation Is Not One Number

The Consumer Price Index rose just 0.1% for the month after declining 0.4% in June, bringing the annual rate down slightly from 3.5% to 3.4%. Core CPI rose 0.2% and...

Iran’s Economy Is Unraveling

Iran International reports that the average advertised monthly rent in Tehran has climbed to 723 million rials, or about $389 at the open-market exchange rate. Many...

July Jobs Report Confirms the Trend Already in Motion

The July employment report is not the beginning of a new cycle, nor is it some sudden deterioration that appeared without warning. The labor market has been...

The Fed Holds While Inflation Refuses to Die

The Federal Reserve voted to leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75%, marking the fifth consecutive meeting without a change. Yet the 9–3...