Yes the Cycles of War are due to turn up in 2014. But this will most likely begin with the rise of internal separatism and civil unrest. True this model pinpointed World War I, World War II, Vietnam all spot on. This time, it is primarily focused in the West/Middle East rather than Asia. The real risk remains Russia. We will be reviewing this year the Cycles of War on a detailed basis since the last report was published in 1986. There appear to be some surprises ahead. War has been a fairly regular pastime of mankind, but it ALWAYS is linked to economics.
See Cycles of War & Political-Economy.