Socrates will Analyze your Portfolio

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The excitement is clearly building and the questions keep coming in. Here is a clip of Socrates on the portfolio monitoring – just a tiny snippet. This accomplishment was 30 years in the making as the required experience to cope with the boom and bust cycle within the global political-economy. Socrates is simply far beyond the standard normal analytic tools that are out there for he has evolved on many disciplines concerning both TIME as well as PRICE.

The good news is this system is so advanced and actually thinks in a cognitive manner exploring the world at large it cannot be duplicated. Socrates has learned over more than a quarter-century building a knowledge base of experience just as a human being learns walking through life. The experience incorporated into this system cannot be obtained in just a few years. This model has been legendary to say the least and it will demonstrate we stand at the threshold of a completely new era in global economics and forecasting.

High End Real Estate $10 million+ Still Rising

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With the banking crisis looming in Europe, the IMF behind the drive to seize wealth on a global scale, big money of individuals continues to try to get “off the grid” as they say. Real Estate over $10 million is still booming as reported by AP.

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We have real estate also mapped into the database that Socrates has correlated with overall trends. As I have stated numerous times, I began with NO theory, just an honest quest to discover what made the world economy tick. By gathering everything we would put into a time series, the understanding emerged that everything is connected.

UK-Real Estate 1970-2011

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Shiller 2013

 

By gathering everything possible and putting it into the database, what Socrates resolved has been fascinating to say the least.

The same trend is impacting art and collectibles. Rare coins are becoming rarer as those who have them just hold and the supply continues to shrink. Every field is pretty much the same story. Nobody wants to sell for then what do you do with the cash?

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Many emails have come in asking if we can assist in obtaining high-end ancient coins since they are an international item and movable without tariffs. I realize this may be in many respects safer than just metals and diamonds for transport. But I am not sure there is enough of a supply even available of coins $10,000+. Most seem to go to auction where they know they can get big bucks. Here is a Naxos tetradrachm, probably the finest known that would probably bring $1 million+ today. If there are any hoards that appear, I typically get a phone call. We will keep everyone in mind since so many are looking to get “off the grid” these days and ancient coins are not likely to be confiscated as was the case with gold..

The Observer – not the Creator

COMMENT: Martin, In many ways I’ve long viewed your work as the reverse side of Shrodinger’s cat — more able to predict the time upon which events that will turn out to have been of significance will occur than what those events will be.  One thought I’ve pondered reading through your material over the last few years is whether there is any point in intentionally aligning significant changes with the specific turning points within the model; trying to ‘catch the wave’ if you will.

Yours sincerely,

CP

1998-Forecast

REPLY: When you consider that the Economic Confidence Model is a transverse wave of a fixed time length and these dates were generated more than 30 years ago based upon economic data, it is truly fascinating that here we are and everything from the 4 Blood Moons line up to within 2 days of the 2015.75 turning point and Congress pushed the whole debt issue off until the precise day of the ECM is just amazing. There is such order hidden behind everything that it is honestly unbelievable.

A client has tweeted a picture of a slide from our 1998 World Economic Conference tour we did around the globe. In retrospect those forecasts were simply astonishing all based upon alignments with the ECM. I think if I had another whole lifetime, this whole thing would keep me occupied trying to figure out this amazing order masked by what people think is random chaos. The ECM is simply the frequency of life for everything seems to align with it no matter what the field. The mere fact there are the Four Blood Moons that line up to 2 days before the turning point 2015.75 when there was no input regarding planetary movement is just mind-bending.

This is not my theory – it was my discovery. I have spent my life trying peel back the veil of chaos hiding the order beneath for truly everything is connected. This is why I say this has been a journey of which we are all a part of – not some theory I set out to prove. I have been the observer – not the creator

Is anything really Random?

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QUESTION:  Hi,

Are random events truly possible? Doesn’t the connection of events mean that specific events aren’t random? I seem to get randomly selected by government for the same things at a rate that would appear to exceed probability.  Like random jury duty every time I’m eligible for last 30 years. Or random selected audits every year for same thing. So how do patterns and cycles relate to random events?

Thanks Bill

ANSWER: It is impossible to create any system that is random. No matter what, in computing, a pattern will always emerge precisely as this pretend random image that quickly falls into a pattern. It is simply impossible to create a truly random number generator. In gambling, there are card counters that they make illegal. Look at a casino and you will notice that they rotate the dealers regularly moving them from table to table. WHY? Because they will end up in a pattern. Even in roulette, there will be some numbers that never come up and others that regularly appear. A pattern will emerge so they move the dealers around to prevent people from playing the patterns. It is very interesting, but there is nothing that can ever be random. It is a part of life. There are some people you will be attracted to and others you prefer to stay away from at all costs.

 

Socrates Manual

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We have been getting a lot of emails asking if we will provide a manual and what exactly will be included in the various stages. We have so much work to do with front-end delivery systems besides trying to get four books out this year. So to say I have a full plate is an understatement. This is why we will be hiring staff to help with a mountain of work. The AI system has been written – but it is more the delivery process that is time-consuming.

Here is a glimpse of the next page to be released to the Global Market Watch.

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The Reversals will be mapped on the side of the chart so you can actually see where there are. You will get the Daily Array providing the timing. We are breaking out the various types of volatility so you can distinguish from an over-night move to a sharp move during the trading session.

The chart will provide the envelope for normal trading with the moving average point plotted within. You will also see the oscillator and a standard MACD for those who like that indicator.

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We are testing to ensure the written reports the computer drafts are correct across a broad scope of markets. This will be available on every stock as well as market index, futures, commodity, and economic statistic from capital flows to GDP and debt. The nice thing about a computer writing these reports, government’s like China need not fear there is a political bias agenda created to instill some propaganda. The computer lacks emotions so there is no political judgment.

The QUERY function will allow you to ask any question. You will be able to ask it just about anything from what took place on January 21st, 1980, to what was the high and lows in a market on a given day to the major high and low. You can ask about political systems, correlations, what will happen if interest rates rise for it will have to calculate what change that would cause as it ripples through the world economy.

You will also be able to create your own portfolio of futures and stocks and have it track them. We are working on it actually send you an email or sms text alert if anything changes in you portfolio.

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We are porting over the trading system. Here is a snapshot of the Cash S&P500. You can see it first began to buy the market the week of June 4th 2012 using the Reversal System. It that added 4 positions and took profit the week of 12/24/2012. However, it reentered the long-side the very next week 12/31/2012 and it has since then added a total of 9 positions. This has been merged now with our timing and pattern recognition models to provide a full picture of trading with our system of risk/rewards in addition to the BIG MOVERS.

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Then we will unleash the Asset Allocation Model. This will be currency based as will be the Portfolio and trading systems. You can ask it to create a Natural Hedge or should there be a hedging strategy employed. This will be great for mining companies as well as major corporations.

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The computer calculations are truly far beyond anything even a team of hundreds of analysts could possibly do in a timely manner. Not merely will this analyze the entire world, it will then calculate every instrument in the world in all the major money center currencies. to predict capital flows Here is the Cash S&P500 plotted and traded in Euros. This provides a completely different perspective when compared to the dollar chart provided above.

There is NO analyst who can do all this work in a single week no less within 2 hours. This is why we need such high-end computing power because there is just so many calculations not even the best performing laptop or desktop computer can accomplish this output.

Of course this is not a solicitation for management and this is hypothetical trading since it trades everything in the world. It always provide the entry and exit for you should NEVER enter a trade in anything without knowing where you are wrong for the exit strategy.