Within Western culture, the mere concept of economic activity taking the form of cyclical patterns of regularity is often dismissed as if it were a legend of ancient Atlantis. The majority cling to the ideas that economic trends and market movements are completely random occurrences within a constant state of unpredictable chaos. Yet at the same time, because the economy is assumed to be random by their definition, the economic social engineers believe it is manageable and controllable. Such interventionist philosophies are shared even by observers with opposing viewpoints such as Karl Marx and John Maynard Keynes.
Separating politics from economics has always been a problem. The simple term ‘political economy’ is made up of two words that are so incompatible that they should have been divorced the moment they first met. Because it is within this odd union that the field of economics takes on the mantle of prejudice and bias, as it often attempts to masquerade as a science when at most it is a social science.
For some strange reason, cycle theory is feared by many professionals in the field of economics most, who are not even willing to look at the concept as if it were some black occult invention or a new version of voodoo economics. The incredible reality of this theoretical battle is man’s own nature, which presents enormous resistance to any change in his philosophy itself. The majority of people want security in knowing the future is somehow just the same. Forecasts of the economy are generally whatever trend is in motion they assume will stay in motion. Therein lies the reason for their demise.
In Asia cycles are part of the religion. Richard E. Nesbett wrote a good book entitled “The Geography of Thought, How Asians and Westerners Think Differently … and Why.” He attributed his work to a Chinese student who said: “You know, the difference between you and me is that I think the world is a circle, and you think it’s a line.” He goes on to quote him:
“The Chinese believe in constant change, but with things always moving back to some prior state. They pay attention to wide range of events; they search for relationships between things; and they think you can’t understand the part without understanding the whole. Westerners live in a simpler, more deterministic world; they focus on salient objects or people instead of the larger picture; and they think they can control events because they know the rules that govern the behavior of objects.”
Indeed, there is a substantial difference between the thinking process in Asia compare to the West. It is our goal to open your mind, and above all else, make you wide before your time. Understanding that the entire universe is constructed on a cyclical model where there are even 4 seasons, is the primary step in realizing that there is a whole new way of looking at the world, the economy, and life waiting to be discovered.
The very theory of Communism and Socialism are predicated upon trying to eliminate the business cycle. The single objective was to equalize wealth and eliminate the boom and bust cycle. These theories failed and resulted in justifying the killing of more people in history than any single idea accounting for both the Russian and Chinese Revolutions.
Former Chairman of the Federal Reserve Paul Volcker even called the failure of the fixed exchange rate system and Keynesianism in eliminating the business cycle has proven these theories seriously flawed calling the Rediscovery of the Business Cycle.
Only in the West do people resist cycles. Our prejudice to even entertaining the idea that just perhaps the cyclical nature of even weather may have an impact upon the rising and falling prices in response to changes in supply. Our religious beliefs in the West are very myopic compared to Asia. Even when the Bible acknowledges that there are cycles by saying that there is a time for everything, we do not consider the meaning of the words. In the King James Version of the Bible right in the ‘Revelations’ we find references to life is a cycle stating:
- And when the thousand years are expired, Satan shall be loosed out of his prison (20:7),
- And shall go out to deceive the nations which are in the four quarters of the earth, Gog and Magog, to gather them together to battle: the number of whom is as the sand of the sea (20:8).
So I am not sure what is ‘sensationalist’ about a business cycle that incorporates nature and tracks its movement and comprehending that we are not in full control of our own destiny. It is not something I created. It has existed throughout time. It is how light moves. It is the building block of the universe. You cannot point to anything that lasts forever and does not move. That is why the concept of God has always been and always will be has been so hard to imagine, because there is no beginning or end that we can relate to in our physical world. It is simply a matter of faith. Nothing in our world is ever linear, or people would live forever. We too are nothing but a cycle. We are born, we live, and we die. Next!
During the 13th century, the majority believed that the world was flat. In some cases, individuals who believed otherwise were put to death. Man had also mocked the idea of an automobile, flight and interplanetary travel. Of course all these things are now commonplace, accepted into the fold of modern society. But such a simple thing as understanding the business cycle remains unaffected by man’s advances in technology or his awareness of nature and physics.
No matter what field of science one selects, there has been considerable resistance toward change. It is this very resistance that so often impedes knowledge and progress. The true mark of intelligence is not what we know, but our ability to keep our mind open to new ideas. Without an open mind, society as we know it would be forever doomed to eternal stagnation. There would be no new fashions, no new advances in technology, no change in taxation and no new jobs, due to the lack of expansion and progress.
The methods adopted in our models have incorporated this cyclical analysis for there is nothing in the universe that is not constructed upon this cyclical structure. Everything travels in cycles for it is how energy moves. There are sound waves, ocean wave as energy moves through the water and even light moves in an electromagnetic wave.
Our models are structured upon reality. We employ a scientific approach to forecasting based upon the very theories proven in all other forms of science. No matter how hard people try to ignore the facts, there is always order within sheer chaos and chaos within order. Repetitive patterns are the very foundation of science. The universe is built upon this same foundation. It is the gravitational force which keeps everything moving according to repetitive patterns. The weather itself is a delicate balance of extremes. Rainy seasons are followed by drought. Conditions change, but the rhythmic cyclical patterns persist. They are the foundation of economies and markets as well.
Everything within the universe is FRACTAL predicated upon a system of Self-Referral. Your children are biologically constructed from the merger of you and your spouse’s DNA and thus they are a product of Self-Referral where they have traits and appearance based upon their parents and their future medical prospects are based upon what they inherited.
We have constructed the largest database in history. We have collected the monetary history of the entire world and plotted the results. We have been able to provide a glimpse into the cyclical nature of Empire, Nations, and City States and just how do they rise and fall. The results have been startling for the one thing that remains constant throughout the centuries is TIME, Here we can see that not only have empires risen and fallen, but indeed each may center has had its 15 minutes of fame being at the top of the world economy.
We have employed these data bases and constructed the first fully functioning Artificial Intelligence system that is a Cognitive Learning System that investigates the world and learns from this experience placing the entire world together in a single coherent forecast.
- Artificial Intelligence
- Business Cycle
- Capital Flows
- Chaos Theory
- Spiral Panic
- Understanding the Economic Confidence Model
- Historical Turnings Points of Economic Confidence Model 6000BC-2072AD
- Glossary of Financial & Economic Terms
- How to Used the Forecasting Arrays
- How to Use the Global Market Watch
- Glossary of Forecasting Terminology
- Models & Methodologies